March Madness is here, which means it’s time for me to dust off the ol’ player projection model, forecast the playing time for hundreds of players I’ve never heard of and place a psychologically unhealthy number of prop bets for the next three weeks.
I’ll be honest: I don’t follow college basketball. I like the sport in theory, but in actuality I don’t take the time to watch it. That has been the case for years.
Even so, in 2019 I pulled together a “model” (set of spreadsheets) to project player production for the NCAA men’s basketball tournament, and since then I’ve used this model (and updated versions of it) to bet profitably in the player prop market. Be sure to join our free Bracket Contest. Prizes up for grabs include a lifetime BettingPros/FantasyPros subscription and a signed Giannis Antetokounmpo jersey!
- 2019: 125-69-12, +39.8 units
- 2021: 106-64-1, +33.8 units
- 2022: 243-210, +14.9 units
Use our FREE bracket optimizer to build a winning men’s NCAA tournament bracket & take down your contest >>
March Madness is here, which means it’s time for me to dust off the ol’ player projection model, forecast the playing time for hundreds of players I’ve never heard of and place a psychologically unhealthy number of prop bets for the next three weeks.
I’ll be honest: I don’t follow college basketball. I like the sport in theory, but in actuality I don’t take the time to watch it. That has been the case for years.
Even so, in 2019 I pulled together a “model” (set of spreadsheets) to project player production for the NCAA men’s basketball tournament, and since then I’ve used this model (and updated versions of it) to bet profitably in the player prop market. Be sure to join our free Bracket Contest. Prizes up for grabs include a lifetime BettingPros/FantasyPros subscription and a signed Giannis Antetokounmpo jersey!
- 2019: 125-69-12, +39.8 units
- 2021: 106-64-1, +33.8 units
- 2022: 243-210, +14.9 units
Use our FREE bracket optimizer to build a winning men’s NCAA tournament bracket & take down your contest >>
2023 NCAA Tournament Player Prop Bet Projections: Auburn vs. Iowa
Auburn Player Prop Bet Projections
| Player |
PTs |
REBs |
ASTs |
PTs + REBs |
PTs + ASTs |
PRAs |
3Ps |
FTs |
| Wendell Green |
16.1 |
4.1 |
5.2 |
20.2 |
21.3 |
25.4 |
1.3 |
4.2 |
| Johni Broome |
15.3 |
9.7 |
1.6 |
25.0 |
16.9 |
26.6 |
0.3 |
1.6 |
| Jaylin Williams |
11.9 |
5.5 |
2.6 |
17.4 |
14.5 |
20.0 |
1.2 |
1.4 |
| Allen Flanigan |
11.4 |
5.6 |
1.7 |
17.0 |
13.1 |
18.7 |
1.1 |
1.8 |
| K.D. Johnson |
9.1 |
2.1 |
1.5 |
11.3 |
10.6 |
12.8 |
1.0 |
1.8 |
| Dylan Cardwell |
3.4 |
3.7 |
1.1 |
7.1 |
4.5 |
8.2 |
0.0 |
0.2 |
| Chris Moore |
2.4 |
1.5 |
0.4 |
3.9 |
2.8 |
4.3 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
| Zep Jasper |
2.7 |
0.9 |
0.5 |
3.6 |
3.2 |
4.1 |
0.5 |
0.2 |
| Tre Donaldson |
1.6 |
1.2 |
1.0 |
2.8 |
2.6 |
3.8 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
| Yohan Traore |
0.4 |
0.3 |
0.1 |
0.8 |
0.5 |
0.8 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
| Lior Berman |
2.0 |
1.1 |
0.1 |
3.0 |
2.1 |
3.2 |
0.4 |
0.1 |
| Chance Westry |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
| Babatunde Akingbola |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
| Jalen Harper |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
| Chandler Leopard |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
| Carter Sobera |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
Iowa Player Prop Bet Projections
| Player |
PTs |
REBs |
ASTs |
PTs + REBs |
PTs + ASTs |
PRAs |
3Ps |
FTs |
| Kris Murray |
19.6 |
8.8 |
1.9 |
28.4 |
21.5 |
30.3 |
1.8 |
3.6 |
| Filip Rebraca |
14.1 |
8.8 |
2.0 |
22.9 |
16.1 |
24.9 |
0.1 |
4.1 |
| Tony Perkins |
13.1 |
5.0 |
2.9 |
18.1 |
15.9 |
20.9 |
0.6 |
3.7 |
| Payton Sandfort |
8.5 |
4.0 |
1.2 |
12.5 |
9.7 |
13.6 |
1.2 |
1.6 |
| Patrick McCaffery |
8.8 |
3.6 |
0.9 |
12.5 |
9.7 |
13.3 |
1.0 |
2.3 |
| Connor McCaffery |
6.3 |
4.5 |
3.5 |
10.8 |
9.8 |
14.3 |
1.0 |
1.8 |
| Ahron Ulis |
4.4 |
1.3 |
1.5 |
5.8 |
6.0 |
7.3 |
0.4 |
0.8 |
| Dasonte Bowen |
0.2 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
| Josh Dix |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
| Josh Ogundele |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
| Riley Mulvey |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
| Carter Kingsbury |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
| Luc Laketa |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
| Dante Eldridge |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
Auburn vs. Iowa Player Prop Bet Picks
All betting odds are from:
Auburn
| Prop |
Odds |
Units |
To Win |
Book |
| Wendell Green Over 3.5 Assists |
-124 |
1.24 |
1 |
UB |
| Wendell Green Over 21.5 PRAs |
-104 |
1.04 |
1 |
UB |
| Allen Flanigan Over 4.5 Rebounds |
-120 |
1.2 |
1 |
MGM |
| K.D. Johnson Under 11.5 Points |
-108 |
1.08 |
1 |
UB |
| Jaylin Williams Over 4.5 Rebounds |
-125 |
1.25 |
1 |
DK |
Iowa
| Prop |
Odds |
Units |
To Win |
Book |
| Kris Murray Over 6.5 Rebounds |
-127 |
1.27 |
1 |
UB |
| Payton Sandfort Under 1.5 3Ps |
115 |
1 |
1.15 |
MGM |
| Filip Rebraca Over 7.5 Rebounds |
-120 |
1.2 |
1 |
DK |
| Connor McCaffery Under 4.5 Assists |
-140 |
1.4 |
1 |
DK |
| Patrick McCaffery Over 3.5 Rebounds |
135 |
1 |
1.35 |
DK |
Win Prizes in our FREE Bracket Contest >>
More Round 1 Player Prop Bet Picks
Round 1 Betting Picks & Predictions
South
East
West
Midwest
NCAA Tournament Same Game Parlay Picks
Check out all of our coverage for the 2023 NCAA Tournament >>
Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Spotify | Google Podcasts | Stitcher | RadioPublic | Breaker | Castbox | Pocket Casts
