Looking for the best March Madness betting systems and betting trends? Well, I have you covered below. I'm highlighting two well-performing systems for the Final Four. One system, which has produced a return on investment (ROI) of 11.35% this season, applies to both games and could lead to an even bigger profit if you're willing to take a bit of a risk. Check out our best NCAA Tournament bets for the Final Four below.
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Best NCAA Tournament Bets: Final Four
(Odds courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook)
Against the Spread Underdog by 1 to 6.5 Points (Postseason)
Underdogs of 1 to 6.5 points have covered in 28 out of 48 postseason games this year. This has resulted in a profit of +5.45 units and an ROI of 11.35%. Both Final Four underdogs fit into this system, as UConn and Arizona are both +1.5 at the time of writing.
Because of how good both the Huskies and Wildcats have been this season, neither has been an underdog very often. That said, Arizona is a perfect 4-0 straight up (SU) as an underdog this season. That includes a 7-point win over Houston in which they were favored by 6.5 points.
Though UConn has five losses, the Huskies weren't underdogs until their Elite 8 matchup with Duke. While the Blue Devils got off to a hot start, UConn stormed back to erase a 19-point deficit and win as 4.5-point underdogs.
There isn't a lot of data to go off of, but these are battle-tested teams with a perfect combined record of 5-0 SU in games they were projected to lose. Therefore, not only would I recommend backing both underdogs against the spread (ATS), I'd back them both on the Moneyline as well.
Picks: UConn +1.5 (-102)/UConn Moneyline (+110) & Arizona +1.5 (-112)/Arizona Moneyline (+105)
Total Points Over 138.5 to 150.5 Points
The offensive explosion expected in the Michigan-Arizona game is definitely taking over headlines, with the total listed at 157.5 points. But this system suggests there's a better play to be made on the over in the game between Illinois and UConn.
This system has been excellent this season (+25.89 units). While the system currently has a two-game losing streak, there's something to be said about long-term sustained success.
Totals are 19-19 in UConn games this season, while the under has hit in 21 of Illinois' 36 games. With both teams allowing fewer than 69 points per game, it may seem counterintuitive to take the over in this game, but these offenses are each averaging over 77 points per game.
Pick: Illinois vs. UConn Over 139.5 Points (-112)
Phil Wood is a featured writer at BettingPros. For more from Phil, check out his archive and follow him @Phil_Wood_Jr.