No. 10 Texas Tech hosts Arizona State at Galaxy Stadium on Saturday, October 17, with kickoff set for 3:30 p.m. ET. The Red Raiders are listed as 15.5-point favorites, while the over/under sits at 50.5 points for this Week 7 Big 12 matchup. Our Texas Tech vs. Arizona State best picks and predictions break down the betting odds and assess whether to back the home favorite, take the points with the Sun Devils or target the game total.
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College Football Week 7 Bets & Picks: Texas Tech vs. Arizona State
College football betting expert Scott Bogman will provide his top picks and predictions for every week of college football action. Let’s get ready for this weekend’s games with Bogman’s best college football bets for Week 7. Check out his top college football Week 7 picks and predictions below for Texas Tech vs. Arizona State.
Texas Tech vs. Arizona State
Fading Kenny Dillingham can be a tough pill to swallow, but fading the Sun Devils' offense is easy. Among 68 P4 teams, Arizona State ranks 54th in EPA, 67th in third-down conversion rate, 56th in red-zone conversion rate, 49th in points per drive and 47th in explosive play rate.
Texas Tech has played an easy schedule (70th in strength of schedule), but its defense looks legit. The Red Raiders lost plenty of talent to the NFL, with David Bailey, Jacob Rodriguez, Lee Hunter, Romello Height, Skyler Gill-Howard and Cole Wisnewski all getting drafted. Still, they have kept pace by bringing in starters through the transfer portal. Tech ranks seventh in PFF defensive grade, 22nd in points allowed per game (16.2) and 18th in red-zone scoring rate allowed. The Red Raiders have also had two weeks to prepare for this matchup.
The Sun Devils have been stomped by better competition twice, losing 48-20 at Texas A&M and 55-19 to Baylor. Texas Tech's offense hasn't been lighting the world on fire, but Arizona State is averaging just 21.5 points per game against FBS opponents. With a nasty defense and two weeks to prepare, the Red Raiders have the edge. Lay the points with the home team.
Pick: Texas Tech -14.5
