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Early NFL Parlay and Best Bets: Week 11 (2021)

by November 17, 2021
Lamar Jackson

The halfway point of the 2021-22 NFL season has come and gone as most teams now sit with at least nine games under their belt and attaining (or not) their season’s goals very much on the cusp of reality. For the most part, identities have taken shape, but that doesn’t mean anything can happen in this league, and predicting games correctly is at an all-time premium.

If you can, however, big payouts await which I think is exactly what we have dialed up today with a 3-leg parlay that would pay out nearly 10/1 odds.

Let’s take a look at the three games involved and where the value lies in each.

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Leg #1. Lions +10 | -110 at DK Sportsbook

Well, it wasn’t a win, but it was something.

Even without Roethlisberger, going into Pittsburgh is a tough place to play and this Lions team more than held their own last week in the Steel City. Contrary to what many might believe, this winless (0-8-1) Dan Campbell team has continued to play their butts off week in and week out and I firmly believe it’s just a matter of time before it pays off.

In this one, they draw a Browns team who is reeling in their own right, losing in blowout fashion to a rookie quarterback in Mac Jones in New England. While the team seems to have the right guy at coach in Stefanski, calls for Baker Mayfield’s job seem just months (if not weeks) away in Cleveland.

Leg #2. Ravens -6 | -110 at DK Sportsbook

After the dreaded four-day turnaround having to play on Thursday night last week and dropping a dud on the road at Miami, the Ravens return this week with I believe a discounted line on the road in Chicago. Even with the 10-22 loss at Miami, the Ravens still rank inside the top 10 league-wide in total offensive yards (#2), total passing yards (#10), and total rushing yards (#1); all while scoring 25.7 points per game.

On the other side, the Bears are rank dead last in both passing yards gained and allowed, all while scoring just 16.7 points per game.

In what would be their fifth straight loss, Bears coach Matt Nagy might not make it to Christmas and I expect the Ravens to be a further catalyst.

Leg #3. Steelers ML | +180 at DK Sportsbook

With QB Ben Roethlisberger’s status for Sunday night’s game very much in doubt, while still remaining on the COVID list, this line has jumped all over the place opening at +3.5 in the lookahead, re-opening at +6, and now settling around +5 as of Wednesday. What’s lost on many, however, was that backup Mason Rudolph was executing a game plan last week largely designed for Roethlisberger, and will come into this one with his own package and fitted to his style of play.

The Steeler’s opponent in this one, the Chargers, come into this one reeling having lost three of four as QB Justin Herbert seemingly loses more confidence each and every week.

Even potentially without TJ Watt, the Steelers have the edge on the defensive side of the ball, the running game, and undoubtedly the coaching box.

Total Odds: +920 at DraftKings Sportsbook

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