Our three picks didn’t come through yesterday for our MLB home run props. But it’s a new week, and I’ve got three more home run props I’ll be firing for today’s slate of games. Join me below.
Find the best price on every home run prop >>
Monday’s Best MLB Home Run Props & Picks
(Odds courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook)
Jackson Chourio (+470)
Over the last month, Jackson Chourio has a .262 ISO and a wOBA of .422 against his last 48 lefties. The right-hander has also hit 37.5% of fly balls with 46.9% of hard contact and a 9.4% barrel rate against lefties in the last 30 days.
Today, Chourio will battle lefty Matthew Boyd of the Cubs, who has allowed a .293 ISO and a wOBA of .371 to his last 83 righties. Boyd has given up almost 30% of fly balls and a 12.5% barrel rate to righties over that time span.
Let’s roll with Chourio to go deep today.
Kody Clemens (+390)
Kody Clemens has smoked a .309 ISO and a wOBA of .385 against his last 65 righties. As a lefty, he’s driven nearly 44% of fly balls and has a team-best 19.5% barrel rate against righties over the last month. Additionally, he’s hit 68.3% of hard contact while limiting ground balls to 26.8% against righties.
Clemens is set to face Troy Melton of the Tigers, who has already allowed a .246 ISO and a wOBA of .386 to his last 74 lefties. Those lefties have hit 32.1% of fly balls, and he’s only earned 14.9% of strikeouts against lefties in the last month. Beyond that, Melton has allowed 55.4% of hard contact and an 8.9% barrel rate to lefties.
Give me Clemens to go yard today.
Rafael Devers (+400)
There’s no hitter hotter than Rafael Devers right now. Devers has a .544 ISO and a wOBA of .618 against his last 72 righties as a left-handed batter. He’s also minimized strikeouts to 18.1% during that time and has hit 47.7% of fly balls with 72.7% of hard contact. He also leads the Giants with a 25% barrel rate against righties and has a .429 batting average on balls in play (BABIP).
Devers is absolutely crushing the ball right now. And that should continue.
Michal McGreevy will get the call for the Cardinals. The righty has given up a .194 ISO and a wOBA of .363 against his last 75 lefties. Those lefties have hit 41.5% of hard contact and over 32% of fly balls against McGreevy.
Let’s close out our home run props with Devers.
