March Madness is here, which means it’s time for me to dust off the ol’ player projection model, forecast the playing time for hundreds of players I’ve never heard of and place a psychologically unhealthy number of prop bets for the next three weeks.
I’ll be honest: I don’t follow college basketball. I like the sport in theory, but in actuality I don’t take the time to watch it. That has been the case for years.
Even so, in 2019 I pulled together a “model” (set of spreadsheets) to project player production for the NCAA men’s basketball tournament, and since then I’ve used this model (and updated versions of it) to bet profitably in the player prop market. Be sure to join our free Bracket Contest. Prizes up for grabs include a lifetime BettingPros/FantasyPros subscription and a signed Giannis Antetokounmpo jersey!
- 2019: 125-69-12, +39.8 units
- 2021: 106-64-1, +33.8 units
- 2022: 243-210, +14.9 units
Use our FREE bracket optimizer to build a winning men’s NCAA tournament bracket & take down your contest >>
March Madness is here, which means it’s time for me to dust off the ol’ player projection model, forecast the playing time for hundreds of players I’ve never heard of and place a psychologically unhealthy number of prop bets for the next three weeks.
I’ll be honest: I don’t follow college basketball. I like the sport in theory, but in actuality I don’t take the time to watch it. That has been the case for years.
Even so, in 2019 I pulled together a “model” (set of spreadsheets) to project player production for the NCAA men’s basketball tournament, and since then I’ve used this model (and updated versions of it) to bet profitably in the player prop market. Be sure to join our free Bracket Contest. Prizes up for grabs include a lifetime BettingPros/FantasyPros subscription and a signed Giannis Antetokounmpo jersey!
- 2019: 125-69-12, +39.8 units
- 2021: 106-64-1, +33.8 units
- 2022: 243-210, +14.9 units
Use our FREE bracket optimizer to build a winning men’s NCAA tournament bracket & take down your contest >>
2023 NCAA Tournament Player Prop Bet Projections: Louisiana-Lafayette vs. Tennessee
Louisiana-Lafayette Player Prop Bet Projections
| Player |
PTs |
REBs |
ASTs |
PTs + REBs |
PTs + ASTs |
PRAs |
3Ps |
FTs |
| Jordan Brown |
17.6 |
10.1 |
1.5 |
27.7 |
19.1 |
29.2 |
0.1 |
5.1 |
| Greg Williams |
8.9 |
3.0 |
0.8 |
11.9 |
9.7 |
12.7 |
1.2 |
2.6 |
| Terence Lewis |
7.2 |
6.4 |
0.6 |
13.6 |
7.8 |
14.1 |
0.0 |
1.8 |
| Themus Fulks |
8.8 |
3.6 |
5.0 |
12.4 |
13.8 |
17.4 |
0.4 |
2.4 |
| Kentrell Garnett |
5.9 |
2.4 |
0.7 |
8.3 |
6.6 |
9.0 |
1.4 |
0.9 |
| Jalen Dalcourt |
5.8 |
1.8 |
0.7 |
7.5 |
6.5 |
8.2 |
1.1 |
0.8 |
| Joe Charles |
4.7 |
4.5 |
0.5 |
9.2 |
5.1 |
9.7 |
0.7 |
0.4 |
| Michael Thomas |
0.8 |
0.4 |
0.4 |
1.2 |
1.2 |
1.6 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
| Kobe Julien |
2.7 |
1.2 |
0.4 |
3.9 |
3.2 |
4.3 |
0.5 |
0.4 |
| Isaiah Richards |
0.4 |
0.7 |
0.0 |
1.1 |
0.4 |
1.1 |
0.0 |
0.2 |
| Chancellor White |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
| Vinny Sigona |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
Tennessee Player Prop Bet Projections
| Player |
PTs |
REBs |
ASTs |
PTs + REBs |
PTs + ASTs |
PRAs |
3Ps |
FTs |
| Santiago Vescovi |
13.5 |
4.3 |
3.0 |
17.8 |
16.5 |
20.8 |
2.4 |
1.9 |
| Olivier Nkamhoua |
11.3 |
4.8 |
2.1 |
16.0 |
13.3 |
18.1 |
0.4 |
1.6 |
| Zakai Zeigler |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
| Julian Phillips |
9.6 |
4.8 |
1.6 |
14.4 |
11.2 |
16.0 |
0.3 |
3.6 |
| Tyreke Key |
8.4 |
2.3 |
1.4 |
10.6 |
9.8 |
12.0 |
1.2 |
1.9 |
| Josiah-Jordan James |
11.5 |
4.7 |
1.8 |
16.1 |
13.3 |
17.9 |
1.6 |
1.5 |
| Jonas Aidoo |
4.1 |
3.7 |
0.8 |
7.8 |
4.9 |
8.6 |
0.1 |
0.5 |
| Uros Plavsic |
5.0 |
3.1 |
0.7 |
8.1 |
5.7 |
8.8 |
0.0 |
0.6 |
| Jahmai Mashack |
7.0 |
3.3 |
2.2 |
10.2 |
9.2 |
12.5 |
0.4 |
1.3 |
| Tobe Awaka |
3.4 |
3.4 |
0.3 |
6.7 |
3.6 |
7.0 |
0.0 |
0.6 |
| B.J. Edwards |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
| Isaiah Sulack |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
| Colin Coyne |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
| Kent Gilbert |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
| Alec Kegler |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
Louisiana-Lafayette vs. Tennessee Player Prop Bet Picks
All betting odds are from:
Louisiana-Lafayette
| Prop |
Odds |
Units |
To Win |
Book |
| Themus Fulks Under 0.5 3Ps |
-130 |
1.3 |
1 |
DK |
| Themus Fulks Under 9.5 Points |
-130 |
1.3 |
1 |
FD |
| Jordan Brown Over 15.5 Points |
-107 |
1.07 |
1 |
UB |
Tennessee
| Prop |
Odds |
Units |
To Win |
Book |
| Julian Phillips Over 8.5 Points |
100 |
1 |
1 |
DK |
| Olivier Nkamhoua Over 9.5 Points |
-129 |
1.29 |
1 |
UB |
| Julian Phillips Over 1.5 Assists |
160 |
1 |
1.6 |
DK |
Win Prizes in our FREE Bracket Contest >>
More Round 1 Player Prop Bet Picks
Round 1 Betting Picks & Predictions
South
East
West
Midwest
NCAA Tournament Same Game Parlay Picks
Check out all of our coverage for the 2023 NCAA Tournament >>
Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Spotify | Google Podcasts | Stitcher | RadioPublic | Breaker | Castbox | Pocket Casts
