There are plenty of areas to attack with tonight’s MLB home run props. Let’s begin the weekend strong and nail a home run prop tonight! Here are my favorite three selections.
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Friday’s Best MLB Home Run Props & Picks
(Odds courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook)
Liam Hicks (+830)
Liam Hicks already has a home run this week. Yet, he’s still +830 to launch one tonight.
Hicks has earned a .200 ISO and a wOBA of .426 with only 6.8% of strikeouts against righties in the last month. In fact, he’s hit over 30% of fly balls against righties in the last 30 days as a lefty.
Tonight, he’ll face Casey Mize of the Padres, who has really struggled since joining San Diego. He’s allowed a .195 ISO and a wOBA of .352 to his last 46 lefties and has given up over 35% of fly balls in the last month against lefties. Mize has earned just 8.7% of strikeouts against lefties during that time.
Everything checks out for Hicks, especially at +830 odds.
Jac Caglianone (+360)
The Guardians are set to pitch Tanner Bibee tonight. The right-hander has allowed his last 76 lefties to hit a .296 ISO and a wOBA of .338. Those lefties have also hit nearly 34% of fly balls and a 10.7% barrel percentage against Bibee.
Jac Caglianone is one lefty who has been heating up against righties. Caglianone has earned a .268 ISO and a wOBA of .458 against his last 60 righties. In addition, he’s got a team-best 15.2% barrel percentage against righties over the last month and has kept strikeouts pretty low.
Caglianone has also hit over 67% of hard contact. Let’s give him a chance tonight.
Jonah Cox (+870)
Here’s another longshot home run to consider. Jonah Cox has launched a .400 ISO and a wOBA of .428 against his last 21 lefties as a right-handed batter. The Giants outfielder already has two home runs in his last five games.
Cox has added nearly 42% of fly balls in the last 30 days and has hit a 25% barrel percentage with 75% of hard contact against lefties during that stretch.
He’ll face Kohl Drake of the Diamondbacks, who has allowed a .300 ISO and a wOBA of .476 to his last 24 righties. Those righties have hit a 12.5% barrel percentage with nearly 38% of fly balls. Drake has given up 75% of hard contact, and strikeouts are below 21% against his last 24 righties.
At +870, I’ll gladly take Cox to hit a homer.
