The NBA has a seven-game slate tonight. Let’s look for market-based +EV NBA picks to attack. Find my favorite three selections below.
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Sunday’s Best +EV NBA Picks
(All bets are for one unit unless otherwise stated.)
Franz Wagner Over 31.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists (-120 at PartyCasino)
- Fair Value: -120
- Market EV: +27%
Franz Wagner has hit this line only once in his last 10 games. However, Paolo Banchero is out, so Wagner should get more opportunities to fill up the box score. He’s already averaging more minutes than last season and faces a Knicks team that is 0-2 to start the year.
With that said, the fair value for this prop is -227, giving this play a 27% market EV. This is one of the best plays you’ll find, maybe on the season. Grab it while you can.
Walker Kessler Over 2.5 Blocks (+168 at FanDuel Sportsbook)
- Fair Value: +131
- Market EV: +16%
Walker Kessler has averaged 2.3 blocks per game over his last 10 games. Meanwhile, he had six blocks against the Clippers last time out and will face a young Jazz team that sometimes struggles on offense.
Kessler would know. This was his former team. He’ll absolutely want to bring it on the defensive end against some of his former teammates.
At FanDuel Sportsbook, you can bet on Kessler to record at least three blocks at +168, while the fair value is +131. This is another strong positive-expected-value play to consider.
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Under 39.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists (-124 at DraftKings Sportsbook)
- Fair Value: -154
- Market EV: +10%
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander took a back seat in Oklahoma City’s win over the Denver Nuggets last time out. He had only 22 combined points + rebounds + assists against the Nuggets. He now faces a Clippers team that just held Luka Doncic to 36 combined points + rebounds + assists.
The Clippers are a very different team than when Gilgeous-Alexander last played them, but he earned only 32 combined points + rebounds + assists in his last meeting against them.
You can bet on Gilgeous-Alexander to go under this total at -124 on DraftKings Sportsbook. The fair value for this play is -154, giving this wager a market EV of 10%.
