With another full slate on the horizon, I’ve zeroed in on my favorite MLB home run props for tonight’s action. We nailed Jake Bauers at +430 last night. Let’s keep that momentum going with tonight’s slate.
Get instant alerts when a line reaches your target via the BettingPros App >>
Saturday’s Best MLB Home Run Props & Picks
(Odds courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook)
Pete Alonso (+350)
Pete Alonso has launched two home runs in his last five games. He has a .264 ISO and a wOBA of .374 against righties over the last 30 days as a right-handed batter. Alonso has also added 37.3% of fly balls against righties during that time and has hit 69.5% of hard contact.
Alonso battles Randy Vasquez of the San Diego Padres. He has allowed a .244 ISO and a wOBA of .351 against his last 44 righties. Vasquez has also allowed a 21.1% barrel rate and 39.5% of fly balls to righties over the last month.
Let’s give Alonso a shot at +350 odds.
Jac Caglianone (+350)
Jac Caglianone has also hit two home runs over his last five games. He’s struck out over 27% of the time against righties over the last month, but he also has a .176 ISO and a wOBA of .391. Caglianone has added over 25% of fly balls, 91.4% of hard contact and a team-best 17.1% barrel rate against righties over the last month.
Caglianone is set to face Mike Burrows of the Houston Astros. He has allowed a .307 ISO and a wOBA of .436 to his last 86 lefties as a right-handed pitcher. Burrows has also allowed a 15.6% barrel rate with 50% hard contact. He has given up over 28% of fly balls to lefties, too.
I’ll ride with Caglianone to launch another one tonight.
Jonah Heim (+390)
The Rockies are set to pitch lefty Kyle Freeland tonight. He has allowed a .326 ISO and a wOBA of .472 to his last 94 righties. The expectation is that there will be many home runs in this game, especially by the Athletics.
Jonah Heim is a switch-hitter who will bat from the right side against Freeland. Heim has a .684 ISO and a wOBA of .588 against his last 19 lefties. He’s also added a team-best 23.1% barrel rate and has hit only 38.5% of ground balls. It’s likely Heim will put the ball in the air when he puts the ball in play.
Go with Heim to hit a homer tonight.
