The 2026 MLB season has been nothing short of thrilling as it crosses the midway point. Veteran sluggers teeing off, skilled rookies becoming household names and elite pitchers prevailing on the mound. The fun continues on Sunday with all 30 teams in action. Here's a look at three MLB player props and picks for Sunday, June 28th.
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Sunday’s Best MLB Player Props & Bets
(Odds courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook)
Merrill Kelly Under 3.5 Strikeouts (+103)
It has not been a campaign to remember for Merrill Kelly. The Arizona right-hander has posted a dismal 5.71 ERA and 1.52 WHIP across 13 starts.
What sticks out most about Kelly’s struggles is his incredibly low 13.1% strikeout rate and his incredibly high 14.4% barrel rate. Simply put, quality contact is being made all over the place by opposing batters. Kelly has accumulated fewer than five strikeouts in six of his past nine outings.
Sunday’s matchup versus the Rays makes wagering on an even smaller total the way to go. The Rays’ offense has tallied the fewest strikeouts in baseball (575). That is due to an elite 20% whiff rate (the lowest in the Majors) and a 29.1% chase rate (the 10th-lowest in the league).
Tampa Bay has flexed its muscles in this series against Arizona, too, striking out just seven times in 16 innings. Back momentum to stay on the side of the home squad.
Drew Rasmussen Over 17.5 Outs Recorded (-206)
Let’s switch gears to the other pro toeing the rubber at Tropicana Field. Tampa Bay’s Drew Rasmussen looks poised for an All-Star bid after logging a stellar 2.62 ERA and 0.88 WHIP in his first 15 starts.
Length has been a notable strength for the Rays pitcher. Rasmussen has finished at least six innings of work in nine of his 15 outings. Limiting baserunners to a 4.5% walk rate and only two hit batsmen has worked wonders for the Washington native.
A showdown with the Diamondbacks gives Rasmussen a great opportunity to stay hot. Arizona checks in as a bottom-five team in the Majors when it comes to OPS versus right-handed pitching (.665), OPS in away games (.669) and OPS in day games (.670).
All three of those components are present on Sunday. The choice to absorb juiced odds can sometimes cause more harm than good, but it is worthwhile when the numbers back it up.
Bryan Reynolds to Hit a Home Run (+470)
Cincinnati’s Brady Singer is a frequent target in the home run department for a few reasons. The 29-year-old hurler regularly gives up hard contact, ranking 341st out of 366 qualified arms in average exit velocity (91.2 miles per hour) in 2026.
Singer has also stumbled in away contests throughout his career, recording a 4.90 ERA and 1.44 WHIP in 83 appearances. Overall, Singer is one of 10 MLB pitchers with at least 17 homers allowed this season.
A visit to PNC Park awaits Singer next. I’ll trust Pittsburgh’s Bryan Reynolds to go deep. The veteran outfielder boasts the league’s 12th-highest OPS during home games (1.007), thanks in part to 20 extra-base knocks.
Keep in mind that Reynolds is repping a career-high 48% hard-hit rate and 91.4 miles per hour average exit velocity as well. If that’s not enough, Reynolds is 6-for-16 with two blasts and six RBI facing Singer. Take a chance at a big payout here.
