If you’re looking for some value in the WNBA tonight, you’ve come to the right place. I’m using the Market-based EV page to land some of the best and most valuable WNBA picks and props on the slate tonight. Follow along below.
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Thursday’s Best +EV WNBA Picks
All bets are for one unit unless otherwise stated
Erica Wheeler Under 8.5 Points (+111 at Novig)
- Fair Value: -105
- Market EV: +8%
Erica Wheeler has had a strong stretch offensively over the last few weeks, scoring at least nine points in eight of her last 10 games. That said, she scored only seven points against Phoenix last time out and played nearly 30 minutes.
Wheeler hasn’t reached the foul line in four consecutive games. She’s also shot just 42.5% from the field, including no better than 38% in two of her last three games. At Novig, you can bet on Wheeler to go under 8.5 points at +111, while the fair value is -105. This is one of the best bets on the board.
Leila Lacan Under 11.5 Points (+122 at Novig)
- Fair Value: +107
- Market EV: +7%
Leila Lacan has struggled to score at least 12 points in games lately. Ultimately, she’s scored no more than 10 points in five of her last six games, and has reached 12 points in just four of her last 10 games.
Meanwhile, she’s holding an 11.5-point line that’s plus money. It’s also juiced up to +122 at Novig, while the fair value from other markets is about +107. That’s a 7% positive expected value bet you’ll really want to consider tonight.
Shakira Austin Over 9.5 Rebounds (+120 at Novig)
- Fair Value: +106
- Market EV: +7%
Shakira Austin has recorded at least 10 rebounds in four of her last five games. She’s added at least two offensive rebounds per game in seven consecutive games. Austin has hit this line in 55% of her last 20 games and has averaged over 31 minutes a night over the last 10 games.
Austin is currently +120 to gain at least 10 rebounds on Novig, but the fair value is set at +106. This is another remarkable play, especially knowing the market value is 7%. Take advantage now.
