Another ho-hum 2-1 day for yours truly. Let’s get a sweep here today. Here are the best PrizePicks plays for Thursday, June 29th.
Thursday's Best MLB PrizePicks Player Predictions
This season: 40-24-3
Max Scherzer Over 7.5 Strikeouts
A big reason for the Mets’ lack of success this year stems from Scherzer, who was brought in to be one of their aces. A 3.98 xFIP is in no way ace-worthy, and he’s been a bit erratic from time to time. With that being said, Mad Max has turned it on, at least in the strikeout department, over his last six starts. Across this span, he has found eight or more strikeouts in five of the six outings.
Another ho-hum 2-1 day for yours truly. Let’s get a sweep here today. Here are the best PrizePicks plays for Thursday, June 29th.
Thursday's Best MLB PrizePicks Player Predictions
This season: 40-24-3
Max Scherzer Over 7.5 Strikeouts
A big reason for the Mets’ lack of success this year stems from Scherzer, who was brought in to be one of their aces. A 3.98 xFIP is in no way ace-worthy, and he’s been a bit erratic from time to time. With that being said, Mad Max has turned it on, at least in the strikeout department, over his last six starts. Across this span, he has found eight or more strikeouts in five of the six outings.
Now, he draws one of the more favorable matchups out there, for starters. The Brewers have the 2nd worst K% (27.4%) and wRC+ (74) over the last month when facing right-handed pitching. Scherzer’s teammate, Kodai Senga, had eight punchouts against them in just five innings pitched yesterday. Max should manage to get there as well, especially considering his history against this roster. They have a combined 26.5% K% in 132 plate appearances against him.
Adam Wainwright Under 17.5 Outs
The Cardinals veteran is finally showing signs of decay without battery-mate Yadier Molina around. His 6.56 ERA is pretty much as bad as it seems and is backed by a 5.63 xFIP. Wainwright also ranks in the bottom 2% in xERA/xwOBA and 1% in K% and Whiff%. He has failed to go six innings in eight of his nine starts.
Without Yordan Alvarez, the Astros took a step back in offensive production for a while there; however, they have turned it back on as of late. Over the last two weeks, they have the 7th best wRC+ (116) versus righties. Considering how poorly Wainwright has been, it’s only right to fade him right now, so take the under here.
Schmidt isn’t typically going over this line, but I like his chances against this Oakland A’s team that failed to reach base once yesterday. They have the 3rd worst K% (25.6%) and wRC+ (83) when facing righties this season. The Yankees right-hander squared off against them earlier this year and struck out seven Oakland batters across six innings pitched. His sliders and curveball generated most of the punchouts that day, and I expect that to be a similar theme today. The Athletics have the highest K% against curves (40.5%) and have the sixth worst run-value against sliders vs. RHP.
Make sure to check out our other favorite bets for Thursday:
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Tyler Gentile is a featured writer at BettingPros. For more from Tyler, follow him @808Paperboi.
