Happy Humpday everyone! This Wednesday presents plenty of pitching predictions worth considering for your PrizePicks lineups. Let’s get into it.
Here are the best MLB PrizePicks plays for Wednesday, May 3.
Wednesday's Best MLB PrizePicks Player Predictions
PrizePicks record: 8-6-1
Yes, the Cardinals don’t strike out frequently, but they aren’t facing pitchers like Ohtani often, either. Excluding a rain-shortened start against the Red Sox, Shohei has cleared this in four of five starts averaging 8.6 Ks per outing. Last season he exceeded this line in 18/28 (64%) starts. He ranks in the top 93% in K% and Whiff% for a reason, and nobody on the Cardinals has ever faced him before.
Happy Humpday everyone! This Wednesday presents plenty of pitching predictions worth considering for your PrizePicks lineups. Let’s get into it.
Here are the best MLB PrizePicks plays for Wednesday, May 3.
Wednesday's Best MLB PrizePicks Player Predictions
PrizePicks record: 8-6-1
Yes, the Cardinals don’t strike out frequently, but they aren’t facing pitchers like Ohtani often, either. Excluding a rain-shortened start against the Red Sox, Shohei has cleared this in four of five starts averaging 8.6 Ks per outing. Last season he exceeded this line in 18/28 (64%) starts. He ranks in the top 93% in K% and Whiff% for a reason, and nobody on the Cardinals has ever faced him before.
Logan Webb and Luis Castillo both have a similar fastball, slider, and change-up pitch arsenal to Ohtani’s. They both have strikeout success stories against the Red Birds as of late, and I’d expect Ohtani to as well.
This line should be set at 6.5, in my opinion. Gilbert has six or more strikeouts in all five starts this year against far superior competition. Now he faces the Oakland A’s, who have the 6th highest K% (25.4%) and 10th worst wRC+ (91) when facing righties. As I mentioned in last week’s article, Gilbert has added a curveball and splitter to his repertoire, and those pitches have clearly benefitted his performance.
Gilbert’s splitter has particularly been effective, and he has the best CSW% among all SPs on the pitch. He only uses it around 13% of the time, but when he throws it, it usually goes for a strike one way or another. Gilbert’s teammate, Bryce Miller, just fired off 10 strikeouts vs. OAK last night in six scoreless frames. I could easily see Gilbert replicating a similar line tonight.
Kyle Wright was cruising along just fine against the Marlins last start until the rain came down. He had six punchouts through three innings on just 45 pitches. Mowing down Marlin hitters is a common occurrence for any starter, and Wright has a solid history against them as well.
Miami’s roster has a 35.3% K% and .259 xwOBA in 63 PAs against him, and Wright had six and 11 strikeouts in two starts vs. MIA last year. The Marlins have the 8th highest K% (25%) and 7th worst wRC+ (84) vs. RHP this year. 17 of the 24 right-handed starters to face them have had five or more strikeouts, and Wright will likely add to that list once again.
Check out our other best bets for Wednesday:
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Tyler Gentile is a featured writer at BettingPros. For more from Tyler, follow him @808Paperboi.
