There’s a plethora of quality starters on the mound today. Below are some of the best angles to attack the MLB PrizePicks slate with for Wednesday, Sept. 20.
Wednesday’s Best MLB PrizePicks Player Predictions
This season: 67-56-8
With a 26.8% K% (fourth worst) and 79 wRC+ (third worst) against righties over the last 30 days, it's safe to say the Yankees are slumping to the finish line the way that they have for the majority of the season. Now, they face one of the best starters in the game. Kevin Gausman has owned them in the strikeout department, and the Yankees roster has a combined 33.1% K% in 118 plate appearances against him. He has faced them on two occasions this season, which resulted in 10 and 11 punchouts across seven frames of work in each. Gausman should have his way with them the way he usually does and go over his strikeout prop.
There’s a plethora of quality starters on the mound today. Below are some of the best angles to attack the MLB PrizePicks slate with for Wednesday, Sept. 20.
Wednesday’s Best MLB PrizePicks Player Predictions
This season: 67-56-8
With a 26.8% K% (fourth worst) and 79 wRC+ (third worst) against righties over the last 30 days, it's safe to say the Yankees are slumping to the finish line the way that they have for the majority of the season. Now, they face one of the best starters in the game. Kevin Gausman has owned them in the strikeout department, and the Yankees roster has a combined 33.1% K% in 118 plate appearances against him. He has faced them on two occasions this season, which resulted in 10 and 11 punchouts across seven frames of work in each. Gausman should have his way with them the way he usually does and go over his strikeout prop.
The Mets’ Japanese pitcher has been one of the lone bright spots for the team this season. Kodai Senga ranks in the 86th percentile in xFIP, 84th in xERA, 90th in hard contact, 88th in LOB and 93rd in K%. He has been on quite the tear more recently, too, with a 2.87 FIP and 30.7% K% in his last seven starts. He has gone over this score in six of these seven outings, averaging 45.4 points per start over this span.
Today, he faces a Miami team that is very aggressive at the plate, averaging the fourth-fewest pitches per plate appearance. They have just a 94 wRC+ against righties over the past 30 days as well. Senga faced them in his first two starts of the season and held them in check across 11.1 innings, allowing just six hits and two runs while racking up 14 strikeouts. That amounted to fantasy scores of 43 apiece. He should have another successful outing against the Fish in this spot.
I think it's safe to say that Mitch Keller from April through June is back. In that three-month stretch, Keller went 6.0+ innings in 13/16 starts, owned a 3.13 FIP and had a 26.8% K%. He cleared this fantasy score in 12/16, averaging 38.5 points per start. The wheels fell off for about a month and a half, but over his last six starts, he has gone 6.0+ innings in five outings and has a 2.85 FIP and 27.3% K%. That has resulted in fantasy scores of 40, 58, 52, 43, 3 and 55. The lone blunder came against the mighty Braves in Atlanta.
Keller now faces a struggling Cubs squad with an 85 wRC+ (t-6th worst) against righties over the past month. He faced them on Aug. 25 and shut them down across eight scoreless frames while striking out six en route to that 52-point fantasy score. With the Cubs’ recent form, he should find another successful outing here.
Make sure to check out our other best bets for Wednesday:
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Tyler Gentile is a featured writer at BettingPros. For more from Tyler, follow him @808Paperboi.
