Two weeks into the MLB season and I finally get to make another MLB bet. I count down the days until Thursday (spoiler alert: there are six days in between every Thursday) when I get to make a bet for you lovely people. Let’s build a same-game parlay (SGP) betting card together for Thursday, April 10th.
We’ll begin with some important stats through 2025 to help find an angle for today. It’s a limited slate, so we might as well go through all the teams.
2025 Team OPS Ranking
- Phillies – 4th
- Brewers – 9th
- Red Sox – 10th
- Angels – 12th
- Rays – 14th
- Blue Jays – 17th
- Guardians – 18th
- Rockies – 19th
- Braves – 24th
- Royals – 25th
- Twins – 27th
- White Sox – 28th
2025 Team Walk Rate Ranking
- Phillies – 2nd
- Braves – 5th
- Guardians – 6th
- Red Sox – 9th
- Blue Jays – 14th
- White Sox – 15th
- Angels – 18th
- Brewers – 21st
- Rays – 23rd
- Rockies – 25th
- Royals – 27th
- Twins – 29th
Let’s look to fade the White Sox today as they face a better Guardians team in Cleveland. This is a bottom-tier White Sox offense, while the Guardians’ offense is humming along.
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Thursday’s Best MLB Same Game Parlay Picks
(Odds Courtesy of FanDuel Sportsbook)
Chicago White Sox at Cleveland Guardians
- Leg 1: Guardians Moneyline (-220)
- Leg 2: Gavin Williams Under 5.5 Strikeouts (-102)
- Leg 3: Carlos Santana to Record a Hit (-165)
Leg #1: Guardians Moneyline (-220)
The Guardians pull this out in a game that is never really in doubt. The highest difference in stats from above, and a -220 Moneyline is usually a sweet spot of Vegas agreeing this matchup is lopsided.
Leg #2: Gavin Williams Under 5.5 Strikeouts (-102)
Despite the White Sox ranking in the bottom five in almost every offensive category, they are in the top 10 in strikeout rate. This stat is a little surprising, though, which is why there is action on Gavin Williams over 5.5 strikeouts (-128) on FanDuel Sportsbook. I think it’s a trap. There is no way Williams goes more than six innings. I get a chance to take under a strikeout an inning from a pitcher with a career 1.35 WHIP facing a top-10 team in strikeout rate? Sign me up.
Leg #3: Carlos Santana to Record a Hit (-165)
Highest average on the Guardians against righties? Check.
Batting in the three-hole? Check.
Old but healthy? Check.
I didn’t draft Carlos Santana in fantasy, but he’s a good bet when he’s in a good situation and healthy. I’m more worried about him getting walks than outs. Which is a good sign for my Guardians Moneyline leg of this parlay.
Parlay Odds: +331
