Another 2-1 day moves the Sleeper article to 48-26 (64.8%) on player predictions. We’re only through April. It will be difficult to maintain that sort of success throughout a 162-game season, but you best believe we will do our best. Let’s keep the good times rolling with three of my favorite player predictions for Wednesday, May 1.
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Another 2-1 day moves the Sleeper article to 48-26 (64.8%) on player predictions. We’re only through April. It will be difficult to maintain that sort of success throughout a 162-game season, but you best believe we will do our best. Let’s keep the good times rolling with three of my favorite player predictions for Wednesday, May 1.
Get instant alerts when a line reaches your target via the BettingPros App >>
Wednesday’s Best MLB Sleeper Picks Player Predictions
Sleeper Record: 48-26
Like yesterday’s walk play with Tyler Anderson, this isn’t the best number to wager on, but it’s one with value. Dating back to last season, Zach Eflin is under this prop in 31 of his last 37 starts. The only reason we’re getting this line is because of his last start where he uncharacteristically permitted two free passes. He allowed just two walks in his previous 29 1/3 innings this season. Don’t let his last start sway you, the larger recent sample size speaks louder than that.
Triston McKenzie gets the worst possible matchup for strikeouts taking on Houston. They have struck out at the lowest rate (16.6%) and have the seventh-best wRC+ (112) against righties this season. Thirteen of the 18 right-handed starters to face them have stayed under this mark. Plus, McKenzie hasn’t looked great to start the year, ranking in the bottom fifth percentile in xFIP, fourth in BB% and 27th in CSW% and K%.
This is a very high bar to clear for any starter, but Chris Sale is unlike most, and taking on the punchout-prone Mariners should get him to eight. Sale is coming off an incredible seven-inning start against the Guardians, who are not known to strike out. He had a season-high 11 punchouts in that one across seven innings of one-run ball. Seattle has the highest K% (28.6%) on the season and we just saw Max Fried hurl six no-hit innings against them while striking out seven. It wouldn’t be all that shocking to see Sale be his vintage self and put up that type of performance. He has recorded at least seven strikeouts in four of his five starts.
Make sure to check out our other best bets for Wednesday:
Tyler Gentile is a featured writer at BettingPros. For more from Tyler, follow him @808Paperboi
