As of this morning, the Market-based EV page for Game 4 of the NBA Finals doesn’t have many positive-expected-value bets. However, there are still a handful of NBA Finals picks to consider, and I’ve talked about them below.
Follow along and consider using the Market Based EV tool to add even more bets for Wednesday, June 10th.
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Wednesday’s Best +EV NBA Finals Picks
(All bets are for one unit unless otherwise stated.)
Mikal Bridges Over 3.5 Rebounds (+107 at Caesars Sportsbook)
- Fair Value: +100
- Market EV: +4%
Mikal Bridges has averaged 35.2 minutes per game over his last 10 contests. Yet, he played only 29 minutes in Game 3. Still, in those minutes, Bridges hauled in five of his 10 rebounding opportunities and still went over his total.
Bridges has added at least four rebounds in eight of his last 10 games against the Spurs. He’s also hit this line in six of his last 10 games overall. You can bet on Bridges to go over 3.5 rebounds at +107 odds on Caesars Sportsbook. The fair value is +100. That’s a huge play.
OG Anunoby Over 1.5 Steals (+145 at Hard Rock Bet)
- Fair Value: +137
- Market EV: +3%
OG Anunoby is one of the best defenders in the NBA. He doesn’t get enough credit for what he’s done on both ends of the floor, quite frankly. He finished with zero steals in Game 3 of the NBA Finals after playing 38 minutes.
Prior to that goose egg, Anunoby had multiple games with at least two steals. He finished with two against the Cavaliers in Game 4 of the Eastern Conference Finals and added two steals in Game 2 of the NBA Finals.
At Hard Rock Bet, the over on 1.5 steals is set at +145, while the fair value is +137. That’s a 3% positive-expected-value play.
Julian Champagnie Over 2.5 Made Three-Pointers (+164 at FanDuel Sportsbook)
- Fair Value: +158
- Market EV: +2%
Julian Champagnie has become one of the best three-point shooters in the NBA. He’s drilled at least three three-pointers in three of his last five games and has attempted at least seven threes in three of his last four games.
Champagnie has also shot at least 40% from downtown in all four of those games and has played an average of 31.3 minutes per night over the last five games. During that five-game stretch, he shot 45.2% from downtown. Champagnie is doing this on the biggest stage.
On FanDuel Sportsbook, you can bet on him to go over 2.5 made three-pointers at +164 odds. The fair value is set at +158. It’s another solid, positive-expected-value bet for tonight.
