NBA Player Prop Bets, Picks & Predictions: Thursday (11/14)

We've hit the ground running this NBA season and are well on our way to a profitable year. But I shouldn't count my chickens before they hatch. The NBA Cup’s group play kicked off Tuesday night, but we're back to regular programming with only a single game tonight.

As always, monitor injury news and lineup announcements. The best way to stay sharp regarding NBA player props is by staying on top of the news. The second-best way is to shop around at different books. Player props rarely have identical odds across platforms, so ensure you get the best value. Let's get to it.

Unless specified otherwise, each bet will be for a single unit.

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Thursday’s Best NBA Player Prop Bets

Last Time: 5-1 | Season: 30-19 | Odds via BetMGM

Luka Doncic Over 47.5 Points + Assists + Rebounds (-115)

There's only one game tonight, so let's go big, shall we? Utah has been a bad team this year, and not in the Harley Davidson motorcycle way. This year, the Jazz are the fourth-worst defense in the league as teams reach the double-digit mark in games played. They are the seventh-fastest-paced team and allow the sixth-most points + rebounds + assists (PRA) to opposing guards in the league.

The over-under is around 232 points. Luka Doncic has only raised his usage rate this year, riding a three-game losing streak. I expect Doncic to take over. When the bets follow an analytical and narrative approach, there tends to be a good return on investment (ROI) to follow. His scoring still has room to get above the 30 points a game it reached last year. I expect his scoring and assists to bring him over the hill on this combo prop tonight.

John Collins Under 20.5 Points + Assists (-130)

On the other side of the ball, you have the worst offense in the league. The 2-8 Jazz have struggled across the board, losing their first six games and ranking in the bottom of the league in several categories. With Walker Kessler out, John Collins has taken over starting duties. I have to give him credit for his first start.

The Jazz big man tallied 29 points, 10 boards, and four assists over 34 minutes against Phoenix. It was a phenomenal outing. However, this is not a sustainable effort. Collins, of course, will play more now as a starter, but he was still playing 28 minutes a game before, and his scoring was not nearly as high. This inflated line should come down, so sell the stock while you can.

Make sure to check out our other best bets for Thursday:

Ryan Coleman is a featured writer at BettingPros. Follow him on Twitter @ryancoleman_98. For more from Ryan, check out his archive.