NBA Player Prop Bets, Picks & Predictions: Thursday (2/6)

Welcome to February basketball as we are deep into the NBA season with the All-Star break right around the corner. If you're just joining us for the first time, welcome, it's been a great season, and I hope we continue that trend as we get closer and closer to nicer weather. We have an 11-game slate tonight, which means we have plenty of selections for betting on props.

There are some questionable tags out there with more probably popping up closer to game times. As always, monitor injury news and lineup announcements. The best way to stay sharp regarding NBA player props is by staying on top of the news. The second-best way is to shop around at different sportsbooks. Player props rarely have identical odds across platforms, so ensure you get the best value. Let's get to it.

Unless specified otherwise, each bet will be for a single unit.

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Thursday's Best NBA Player Prop Bets

Last Time: 4-2 | Season: 96-72

Jamal Murray Under 20.5 Points (-115 DraftKings Sportsbook)

After coming off a back-to-back with a much friendlier matchup, Denver has to turn around and face one of the most difficult defenses in the league. Orlando is also playing in consecutive games, so monitor any rest or lineup changes that may impact Jamal Murray's lines. Either way, I trust the under.

The Magic defense has traveled well this season, ranking third in defensive efficiency. They also have played at the second-slowest pace when traveling, so I expect a downgrade to possession numbers as well, which of course gives Murray fewer chances to go over his props. Orlando has also allowed the fewest points + assists + rebounds to opposing point guards in the league. Everything is looking towards an under here.

Of course, the line is down a bit but I don't think it's down enough. The difference between New Orleans and Orlando is quite drastic, so even with averaging 23 points a game in the last two weeks, Murray is due for regression and this game sets up to be just that.

Amen Thompson Under 15.5 Points (-113 FanDuel Sportsbook)

It's not the most exciting article to start with two straight unders but that's where we're at today. It also doesn't seem like there will be much scoring across the board here with the total set around 216.

Amen Thompson has scored and played a lot more minutes in recent games than his season average but I expect it to be difficult to play to such levels so consistently. The Timberwolves’ interior will give issues to Thompson, as they allow the fourth-fewest points to opposing power forwards.

Minnesota's defense has also been consistently great this season, ranking in the top five of metrics no matter what timeline or split you give them. For a team that has lost four straight on the road, this is a clear under play despite Thompson's recent performances.

Jrue Holiday Over 13.5 Points + Rebounds (-115 DraftKings Sportsbook)

I don't want to say they exactly are in shambles but Dallas is... figuring things out right now. They got walloped by Cleveland on Sunday and lost a close one to Philly. Now they have to keep the road trip going by playing in Boston.

At home, Jrue Holiday scores and rebounds more to go with 30 minutes on the court. He's dealing with a minor right shoulder alignment, which I feel is required to be mentioned, but that shouldn't limit him. If that is bringing down the prop at all then I am all in on hammering the over.

Boston should cruise here and Dallas' defense might be in the worst state it will be in all season, ranking 29th in defensive efficiency over its last five games. Don't be afraid to pick and choose your Boston overs because there are a lot of options tonight. I'm simply going with Holiday.

Make sure to check out our other best bets for Thursday:

Ryan Coleman is a featured writer at BettingPros. Follow him on Twitter @ryancoleman_98. For more from Ryan, check out his archive.