Welcome to another day of NBA prop betting. With the All-Star break behind us, we can lock in as we look to the playoff race on the horizon. As always, monitor any potential news and lineup announcements. The best way to stay informed about NBA player props is to stay up-to-date with the latest news. The second-best way is to shop around at different sportsbooks. Player props rarely have identical odds across platforms, so ensure you get the best value.
After a smaller slate before the break, we're treated to a healthy 10-game slate today. Despite the break, there are still players with questionable tags across the board, so make sure to stay on top of the news. Anyways, let's get to the best bets of the day.
Unless specified otherwise, each bet will be for a single unit.
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Thursday’s Best NBA Player Prop Bets
Last Time: 1-1 | This Season: 57-46
Brandon Miller Under 29.5 Points + Assists + Rebounds (-106 at FanDuel Sportsbook)
An underrated matchup today is Houston-Charlotte. The Hornets finished the first half of the season strong, going 12-3 over the final 15 games with the second-best offensive rating in the league. Their offense and play are serious and sustainable, but Houston offers a tough matchup. The total is only 217 points with a close spread, so it's expected to be a rock fight.
When Charlotte faced Houston the first time, they won, but Brandon Miller was limited in playing time and scoring. The Rockets have also allowed the fewest combined points + assists + rebounds to opposing forwards by a wide margin. Miller finished the first half of the season with a solid performance against Atlanta, and I expect that's an aspect to why his combo prop line is so inflated.
Houston will slow down the pace, as they sport the 28th slowest pace of play in their last 15 games, and limit frontcourt play, leading Miller to go under his combo prop. At near even odds, it's a great way to start the second half of the season.
RJ Barrett Over 27.5 Points + Assists + Rebounds (-102 at FanDuel Sportsbook)
Coming to Chicago, Toronto sits as a near 6-point favorite with a total around 233 points. After the fire sale, it's hard to really trust Chicago to continue putting up formidable numbers. Their defense ranks 25th on the season and 29th across their last 10 games. That's the range they'll likely sit in for the rest of the season.
To pair with poor defense is their fifth-fastest pace in the league, which will only help RJ Barrett's opportunities. The Duke product has kept his usage rate consistent across the season, and Toronto posted 123 points on Chicago when they faced them earlier this month. Barrett sat out that game, but the opportunity will be there with his 30+ minutes of playing time. I project him closer to 30 on his combo prop this evening if you want to bet on some alts.
Jalen Suggs Over Points + Assists + Rebounds (-118 at DraftKings Sportsbook)
Finally, I have to bet against the Sacramento Kings, a team that is 1-14 over their last 15 games. To go with that, their defense has been abysmal, ranking at the bottom of the pack in that same time frame. It also helps that they've allowed the most combined points + assists + rebounds to opposing guards over their last 30 games, so Jalen Suggs lines up particularly well here.
The Orlando guard has covered this line in four of his last seven games, so I'm a little surprised at where it's set. Sacramento plays at a similar pace to Orlando, and I can't imagine they're going to show up with a lot of energy, ready to battle. If you're looking for another Orlando option, I'd go with Wendell Carter Jr., as he should feast down low against Maxime Raynaud.
Ryan Coleman is a featured writer at BettingPros. Follow him on Twitter @ryancoleman_98. For more from Ryan, check out his archive.