Welcome to another day of NBA prop betting. With the All-Star break behind us, we look to the playoff race on the horizon. As always, monitor any potential news and lineup announcements. The best way to stay informed about NBA player props is to stay up-to-date with the latest news.
The second-best way is to shop around at different sportsbooks. Player props rarely have identical odds across platforms, so ensure you get the best value. Let's get to the best NBA prop bets of the day.
We have a solid nine-game slate tonight, giving us plenty of options to choose from, including the one I've been waiting for: Utah-Washington. As always, there are still players with questionable tags across the board, so make sure to stay on top of the news. Anyways, let's get to the best prop bets of the day.
Unless specified otherwise, each bet will be for a single unit.
Go premium to view top prop bets based on Cover Probability, Expected Value & Star Rating >>
Thursday’s Best NBA Player Prop Bets
Last Time: 2-1 | This Season: 63-51
Bam Adebayo Under 35.5 Points + Assists + Rebounds (-120 at Hard Rock Bet)
We've all heard the phrase "unstoppable force vs. immovable object" before. Well, this is less so that and more "when a cheetah meets a snail, what pace of play wins out?” scenario. The Miami Heat have consistently been the quickest team in the NBA with their high-flying possession rate.
Unfortunately for the Heat, they go up against the Brooklyn Nets tonight, one of the slowest teams in the NBA. While their defense isn't much to write home about, this is a sheer fade of opportunity for Bam Adebayo tonight. Yes, the Miami center did cover this line last time out against the Nets, but he also attempted 24 field goals, so I don't expect that to be repeated after averaging 18 points a night across the season.
This line has been inflated with recent play, but I'm fading the Heat big man, despite the poor defensive opponent.
Cade Cunningham Under 25.5 Points (-105 at Fanatics Sportsbook)
For one of the more exciting matchups of the season, San Antonio returns home to battle the No. 1 seed in the Eastern Conference. The Spurs’ defense has been sharp of late, ranking first in their last 15 games, going 13-2 during that timeframe.
They've also allowed the second-fewest points to opposing point guards in that same span and are really hitting their stride at the right time. In his last game versus the Spurs, Cade Cunningham only managed 16 points at home. I imagine San Antonio will run back their same strategy, this time with home court on their side.
The Oklahoma State product is coming off a 10-point outing. He has averaged 24 points per game in the last two weeks and 23 points a night over the last two months. The Pistons star is finding other ways to make his mark that go beyond pure scoring. I wouldn't be shocked if he struggles to eclipse 20 points, if you care to bet on some alt lines.
Saddiq Bey Under 27.5 Points + Rebounds (-115 at Hard Rock Bet)
For my personal Super Bowl on the slate this evening, we have New Orleans heading West to take on Sacramento. Despite the Kings being a downright bad organization, they've actually limited opposing small forwards to the fifth-fewest points and boards on the season. Surprising, I know.
Despite this game sitting with a healthy 234 projected total, I'm zagging a bit with the banged-up Pelicans not garnering my trust offensively. This is a line Saddiq Bey has only covered in 34% of games this season. He only put up 12 points and four rebounds last time out against the Kings. He's playing more minutes since then, but he’s been overperforming over the last two weeks, and I expect his averages to be on the decline.
While this is a friendly matchup, the prop is simply too inflated for my taste. To help, the BettingPros Prop Bet Cheat Sheet projects this one closer to 23 combined points + rebounds, so you're getting a lot of value. I trust the cheat sheet with my betting life, and you should, too. Don't always blindly bet the over just because the opponent is trash. I know it's tempting, but the under is the play here.
Ryan Coleman is a featured writer at BettingPros. Follow him on Twitter @ryancoleman_98. For more from Ryan, check out his archive.