Welcome to another day of NBA prop betting as we hunker down for the cold after the holiday season, with the All-Star break approaching. As always, monitor any potential news and lineup announcements. The best way to stay informed about NBA player props is to stay up-to-date with the latest news. The second-best way is to shop around at different sportsbooks. Player props rarely have identical odds across platforms, so ensure you get the best value.
We're 4-1 across the last two articles, so the plan is to stay hot during this not-so-hot weather. Today marks a solid seven-game slate, so we have a plethora of options. Either way, let's get to it.
Unless specified otherwise, each bet will be for a single unit.
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Wednesday’s Best NBA Player Prop Bets
Last Time: 2-1 | This Season: 50-39
Donovan Mitchell Under 35.5 Points + Assists (-120 at Hard Rock Bet)
While Cleveland waits for James Harden to join the squad, I'm fading them as they have to travel to his old team's stomping grounds. The Clippers’ defense has improved across their last 15 games on the season, with the third-slowest pace of play.
Donovan Mitchell has only covered this line in three of his last nine games and one of his last five road games, so it's not like it's lowered much to justify going the other way with it. Los Angeles also gets a bump when playing at home, becoming a top-10 unit, so I only expect it to be additionally difficult for Mitchell and Co. to get to the rim. Even the total at 223 feels a little high, so I'll be riding the under across the board here tonight.
RJ Barrett Over 19.5 Points + Assists (-125 at Hard Rock Bet)
I usually don't get married to splits, as a lot of the time the sample sizes are too small to really justify any solid evidence towards future backing, but Minnesota's home/away splits are simply too wild to ignore. Across the board, the Timberwolves' defense ranks ninth in efficiency; at home, that number jumps to third. On the road, however, they fall all the way to 20th. It really is a night-and-day difference.
RJ Barrett's splits don't change too much away versus home, in case you were curious, and I see him lined up for success here with his recent play, covering two straight games after taking a bit to get back to full minutes after his injury. I see this as the sportsbooks being behind on catching up to his seasonal averages and the different Minnesota splits. Their defense is scary, but not nearly as scary as it'll be tonight in Toronto. Give me the over on Barrett’s points + assists combo prop.
Devin Vassell Over 15.5 Points + Rebounds (-104 at DraftKings Sportsbook)
And finally, we come to the most anticipated game of the evening between the Oklahoma City Thunder and the San Antonio Spurs. And I know exactly what you're thinking when considering this game: How will Devin Vassell perform? After his injury, Vassell has only started in his last two games, so this is me once again trying to be ahead of the sportsbooks.
Monitor any potential updates, but assuming no setback, Vassell should start and be a full go, playing his regular 30 or so minutes. If that is the case, this number is criminally low. He's covered this line in 25 out of 36 games this season and, more importantly, in three out of four against Oklahoma City this season. Vassell’s usage last game was back over his yearly averages, and with the Spurs at home, I only like this prop more, even against the dangerous Thunder.
Ryan Coleman is a featured writer at BettingPros. Follow him on Twitter @ryancoleman_98. For more from Ryan, check out his archive.