We’re treated to yet another mega-slate, with 14 games starting the week. The NBA takes a day off tomorrow before returning for seven contests on Christmas, so get your fill in today.
Here are three of my favorite player predictions via PrizePicks for Monday, December 23.
Our PrizePicks Cheat Sheet helps bettors by comparing lines from PrizePicks vs. our daily NBA projections >>
Monday’s Best NBA PrizePicks Player Predictions
PrizePicks Record: 18-10
We’re treated to yet another mega-slate, with 14 games starting the week. The NBA takes a day off tomorrow before returning for seven contests on Christmas, so get your fill in today.
Here are three of my favorite player predictions via PrizePicks for Monday, December 23.
Our PrizePicks Cheat Sheet helps bettors by comparing lines from PrizePicks vs. our daily NBA projections >>
Monday’s Best NBA PrizePicks Player Predictions
PrizePicks Record: 18-10
The fact this opened up at around 26.5 at some books is a complete joke. He has hardly played this year, but it appears that Embiid is back, coming off a 34-point performance across 31 minutes against the Hornets a couple of days ago. Tonight, he faces the Spurs, the same team he put up a career-high 70 points against last season. San Antonio is 28th in defense against the pick-and-roll. Embiid scores most of his points through that play type, and this line is simply too low for him. He had 30 points or more in 34-of-46 games (74%) last season.
This is almost an identical handicap to the fade on Jalen Suggs I had on Thursday. The Thunder play lock-down defense better than anyone in the league, ranking first in adjusted defensive net rating. They are allowing the second-fewest points in transition and to the pick-and-roll ball handler. Poole scores 50% of his points via those play types. Additionally, the Wizards are 18-point underdogs, so chances of Poole sitting toward the end of a game due to a blowout seem pretty likely. He is under this total in seven of 14 games without Kyle Kuzma this season.
He’s been a little cold recently, but this line still feels out of wack for him. Harris has hit this in 18-of-27 games (67%) and gets a relatively soft matchup taking on the Lakers. They’re 19th in adjusted defensive net rating and have permitted the fifth most points to opposing Power Forwards. They have also allowed the fifth most points in transition, which is how Harris scores 20% of the time. When these teams met last month, he finished with 23 PRA.
Tyler is a featured writer at BettingPros. For more from him, follow @808Paperboi.
