It has been a whirlwind of non-stop basketball with the NCAA tournament going on. The madness has a couple of days off before resuming on Thursday, so let’s take a look at the six-game slate in the NBA this Monday. Admittedly, the results have not been pristine, with a 15-17 PrizePicks record on these articles, but the analysis is sound, so we continue to fire away. Hopefully, some better luck ensues today.
Also, take a look at our other best bets for Monday:
It has been a whirlwind of non-stop basketball with the NCAA tournament going on. The madness has a couple of days off before resuming on Thursday, so let’s take a look at the six-game slate in the NBA this Monday. Admittedly, the results have not been pristine, with a 15-17 PrizePicks record on these articles, but the analysis is sound, so we continue to fire away. Hopefully, some better luck ensues today.
Also, take a look at our other best bets for Monday:
Monday’s Best NBA PrizePicks Bets
Here are the best PrizePicks plays for NBA action on Monday, March 20.
De’Aaron Fox Over 26.5 Points
A shootout is in the cards with the Kings visiting Salt Lake City, Utah. The game has the highest listed total of the night at 239, and both teams play at a top-12 Pace. The Jazz have consistently been a funnel for points all year, particularly to point guards. They have allowed the third most points per game to the position and are 25th in Defensive Net Rating.
Fox can be a bit of a streaky scorer at times, but this matchup is ripe for the picking. He has gone over this line in 13 of his last 19 games averaging 28.7 PPG, and had 37 points the last time these teams met in early January. Thanks to Walker Kessler, Utah’s interior defense has improved over the last month or so; however, their perimeter D is still lacking. Look for Fox to exploit their guards with his mid-range prowess.
Stephen Curry Over 28.5 Points
Here we go again. The road Warriors simply refuse to win away from Chase Center. They are a league-worst 6-29 on the road, so even as 10 point favorites at the Rockets, blowout concerns should be mitigated. With a 237.5 total, there should be plenty of scoring in this game and Chef Curry will likely be responsible for the most points scored.
The Rockets have the second worst Defensive Net Rating, permit the most points per game to point guards, and allow the most three-pointers per game (14.6) by a large margin this year. This line is below his season average of 29.8 PPG, and in two games against Houston this year, Steph scored 30 and 33 points. Since returning from injury, he has eclipsed this in five of eight games averaging 31.5 PPG.
Kelly Oubre Jr. Over 23.5 Points
The Hornets starting shooting guard had an abysmal night shooting last go around against the Sixers, but the matchup is significantly better for Oubre on Monday. The Pacers have the 5th worst Defensive Net Rating, allow the third most points per game to SGs, and both squads rank in the top nine in Pace, so there will be plenty of shots being put up.
Since joining the starting rotation due to LaMelo Ball’s injury, Oubre has cleared this mark in six of his last eight games and is averaging 23.6 PPG and 36 minutes per game. When Oubre has played at least 36 minutes this season, he has scored 22+ points in 13 of 15 games averaging 26.3 PPG. He should be able to cook up at least 24 in this cake matchup.
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Tyler Gentile is a featured writer at BettingPros. For more from Tyler, follow him @808Paperboi.
