On Tuesday, Donovan Mitchell hit five three-pointers and Corey Kispert got nowhere near his PRA line to give us two easy wins. James Harden missed his points + rebounds Over by one in a game where Joel Embiid went for 52 points. It was the right read, just the wrong result. There are just four days until the end of the NBA season and five games on the docket tonight.
Here are the best PrizePicks plays for Thursday’s NBA action.
Thursday's Best NBA PrizePicks Player Predictions
This Season: 20-18
James Harden Over 10 Assists
Harden has averaged 10.0 or more assists every month this season. For the year, he is averaging 10.8 per game. Against the Boston Celtics on Tuesday, he had 10 assists, which was preceded by a six-assist game against the Milwaukee Bucks. Most players would be more than happy with these numbers, but these actually signal a down stretch for Harden.
On Tuesday, Donovan Mitchell hit five three-pointers and Corey Kispert got nowhere near his PRA line to give us two easy wins. James Harden missed his points + rebounds Over by one in a game where Joel Embiid went for 52 points. It was the right read, just the wrong result. There are just four days until the end of the NBA season and five games on the docket tonight.
Here are the best PrizePicks plays for Thursday’s NBA action.
Thursday's Best NBA PrizePicks Player Predictions
This Season: 20-18
James Harden Over 10 Assists
Harden has averaged 10.0 or more assists every month this season. For the year, he is averaging 10.8 per game. Against the Boston Celtics on Tuesday, he had 10 assists, which was preceded by a six-assist game against the Milwaukee Bucks. Most players would be more than happy with these numbers, but these actually signal a down stretch for Harden.
Harden has gone against the Miami Heat twice this season, and he has games of five and 12 assists. We like him to go over tonight, as he is bound to revert to his average and have a big night, and the Heat are allowing 25.6 assists per game this year.
Markelle Fultz Under 15.5 Points
Fultz just scored 23 points against the Cleveland Cavaliers on Tuesday, and because he is going up against them again on Thursday, this may seem like an easy bet. However, Fultz has played two other teams in back-to-back games this season, and he has seen an average drop-off of six points between his first and second performances.
Prior to Tuesday, Fultz has just 10 20-point games this year. Only once did he score 20 in back-to-back contests. Every other 20-point performance has been followed by a game of 12 points or less. Based on these trends, and Fultz's season average of 14.2 points per game, take the under.
Ochai Agbaji Under 2.5 Three-Pointers Made
Agbaji is averaging 1.39 three-pointers made per game this season. Early in the year, he was barely shooting the ball from beyond the arc at all. However, since March 1st, he is averaging over 2.5 made three-pointers per game.
However, he has gotten to that number with a couple of really big performances. Of his last 16 games, he has actually only gone over 2.5 three-pointers six times. However, in four of those six games, he made four or more from deep. All of this is to say, Agbaji is more likely to hit two or fewer three-pointers than he is to hit three or more. And the Oklahoma City Thunder’s three-point defense isn't bad enough to warrant a line this high.
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Phil Wood is a featured writer at BettingPros. For more from Phil, check out his archive and follow him @Phil_Wood_Jr.
