We’ve got a packed 10-game slate for Friday. Let’s kick off the weekend with some winning picks.
Also, take a look at our other best bets for Friday:
Friday’s Best NBA PrizePicks Bets
Here are the best PrizePicks plays for NBA action on Friday, March 3.
This matchup is as optimal as it gets for Ja. The Nuggets have allowed the 3rd most points and 2nd most assists to Point Guards this year. These teams matched up just a week ago, and if it weren’t for the Grizzlies being up 32 points through three quarters, Ja would’ve easily gone over this mark against the Nuggets. He had 35 PRA in just 24 minutes of play.
Steven Adams has also been ruled out once again. This bodes well for Ja, as he has been filling up the stat sheet in Adam’s absence. In 15 games without Aquaman available, Morant has cleared this in 9/15, averaging 43.3 PRA per contest. Filtering out the two games where he played just three quarters, Ja has exceeded this in 9/13, averaging 45.2 PRA. He also has three triple-doubles across those 13 games, and I’ll definitely be wagering on that tomorrow as well.
The Steven Adams trends do not end here. Big men are feasting off the glass without him available. Over the last 15 games, Memphis has allowed the most rebounds to Centers.
- Domantis Sabonis 10
- Draymond Green 13
- Rudy Gobert 13
- Myles Turner 4 (early foul trouble)
- Drew Eubanks 11 (24 minutes)
- Jarrett Allen 11 & Evan Mobley 14
- Precious Achiuwa 7 & Chris Boucher 10
- Nikola Vucevic 17
- Rudy Gobert 10
- Robert Williams III 16
- Kelly Olynk 14 & Walker Kessler 14
- Joel Embiid 19
- Nikola Jokic 13
- Anthony Davis 19
- Alperen Sengun 8
Do I really have to write anything more on the matter? Here it is anyways: Jokic has 12 or more rebounds in 11 of his last 12 games and is averaging 14.5 boards per game over this span. He has recorded 13 rebounds in each game against Memphis this year, and this line is juiced up to -130 at DraftKings. Over 23.5 rebounds+assists (+100) looks solid as well, but I’ll be wagering on him to record a triple-double (+110) for the 16th time in his last 21 games.
Capela should have a field day against the Trail Blazers tonight. Portland has permitted the most points to Centers this year, and over the last 15 games, they have allowed the 2nd most rebounds to the position. Much of that has to do with Jusuf Nurkic not playing in 13 of their last 14 games. The Centers to face them as of late have dominated in his absence:
- Precious Achiuwa: 27 points 13 rebounds
- Capela 10/15 (with Nurkic playing)
- Jaren Jackson Jr 18/7
- Daniel Gafford 9/6 (26 minutes), but Porzingis had 32/8
- Nikola Vucevic 23/10
- Brook Lopez 27/9
- Kevon Looney 5/5 (14 minutes)
- Kenrich Williams (who?) 8/3
- Anthony Davis 19/20
- Daniel Gafford 2/1, but Porzingis had 28/12
- Domantas Sabonis 18/17
- Alperen Sengun 17/10
- Kevon Looney 12/7 (24 minutes)
- Willy Hernangomez 7/7 (21 minutes)
As long as Capela plays around his 26.7 minutes per game, he should find 23+ points+rebounds. When he has played 26+ minutes this year, he has cleared this in 21 of 25 games averaging 27 points+rebounds in those contests.
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Tyler Gentile is a featured writer at BettingPros. For more from Tyler, follow him @808Paperboi.
