If Week 12 took something out of you as an NFL bettor, don't worry. You definitely aren't alone. With the longest week of games in the history of the league now finally behind us, it's a quick turnaround to get ready for another packed Sunday of football this weekend.
Despite the hectic nature of this past week, the majority of Week 13 lines were posted and have remained available for action at sportsbooks ever since Sunday evening. As such, there is plenty of line movement to analyze once again this week. Let's dive deeper and see where the NFL betting market might be able to lend us some handicapping assistance.
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Line Movement Analysis for Week 13
Refer to the side-by-side comparison of consensus opening lines and current odds for all Week 13 games in the table below. For games that have experienced especially significant or interesting movement, analysis of and reasoning for the changes are included in the sections below.
| Game | Opening Lines | Current Odds |
| Browns at Titans | Titans -4; O/U 53 | Titans -5.5; O/U 54 |
| Raiders at Jets | Raiders -7.5; O/U 47 | Raiders -9; O/U 47 |
| Jaguars at Vikings | Vikings -9.5; O/U 50.5 | Vikings -10.5; O/U 52.5 |
| Bengals at Dolphins | Dolphins -10.5; O/U 42.5 | Dolphins -11.5: O/U 42 |
| Colts at Texans | Colts -3.5; O/U 54.5 | Colts -3; O/U 51 |
| Lions at Bears | Bears -5; O/U 45 | Bears -3; O/U 45 |
| Saints at Falcons | Saints -3.5; O/U 47.5 | Saints -2.5; O/U 46 |
| Giants at Seahawks | Seahawks -7; O/U 47 | Seahawks -7.5; O/U 46.5 |
| Rams at Cardinals | Rams -1; O/U 48.5 | Rams -3; O/U 48.5 |
| Eagles at Packers | Packers -7; O/U 47 | Packers -8.5; O/U 47 |
| Patriots at Chargers | Chargers -2.5; O/U 49 | Pick'em; O/U 47.5 |
| Broncos at Chiefs | Chiefs -13; O/U 48.5 | Chiefs -14; O/U 51 |
| Washington at Steelers | Steelers -10.5; O/U 44 | Steelers -8.5; O/U 43.5 |
| Bills at 49ers | Bills -3; O/U 48 | Bills -1.5; O/U 48 |
| Cowboys at Ravens | Ravens -7 | Ravens -7 |
Week 13 Point Spread Movement Analysis
Odds courtesy of 888sport
Browns at Titans
 |
CLE
|
+5.5
-110
|
o53.5
-110
|
+205
|
|---|---|---|---|---|
| JOIN NOW |
TEN
|
-5.5
-110
|
u53.5
-110
|
-250
|
The Move: Opening spread of Titans (-4) up to Titans (-5.5)
The Titans are an attractive team to buy after they throttled the Colts in last week's pivotal AFC South rematch. Meanwhile, the Browns come in with an identical 8-3 record and haven't dropped a game since November 1st. So why are sharp bettors so quick to go against Cleveland?
The underlying numbers for these teams heavily favor the Titans. Despite their record and place in the standings, the Browns rank just 19th in total DVOA, according to Football Outsiders. That suggests that they’re a prime candidate for regression down the stretch, and that they’re a team to fade at the betting window relative to public perception.
Lions at Bears
|
DET
|
+3
-110
|
o44.5
-110
|
+140
|
|---|---|---|---|---|
| JOIN NOW |
CHI
|
-3
-110
|
u44.5
-110
|
-175
|
The Move: Opening spread of Bears (-5) down to Bears (-3)
Neither of these NFC North rivals appears to be going far in 2020, although it’s worth noting that Chicago's playoff hopes aren't dead just yet. It's interesting to see money come in on the Lions after they fired head coach Matt Patricia and GM Bob Quinn last week. That may be a play against Mitchell Trubisky and the inept Chicago offense, which would be totally justifiable.
Regardless, the Chicago defense is clearly the best unit on the field in this matchup. Buying back on this line move and only laying a field goal at home is the appealing play for me.
Rams at Cardinals
|
LAR
|
-2.5
-124
|
o48.5
-110
|
-152
|
|---|---|---|---|---|
| JOIN NOW |
ARI
|
+2.5
+102
|
u48.5
-110
|
+125
|
The Move: Opening spread of Rams (-1) up to Rams (-2.5)
This line movement in favor of the Rams as a short road favorite would go against the grain of public recency bias after L.A. stumbled against the 49ers last week. That sentiment alone indicates the sharp nature of the money driving the line upward. For as inconsistent as Jared Goff has been this season, the Rams defense has been a weekly force.
The other major factor here is the health of Kyler Murray. The MVP candidate sustained a shoulder injury two weeks ago and was far from himself against the Patriots. An injured quarterback against a lethal defense could be the perfect recipe for a Rams winner.
Week 13 Totals Movement Analysis
Odds courtesy of 888sport
Colts at Texans
|
IND
|
-3.5
-110
|
o51
-110
|
-186
|
|---|---|---|---|---|
| JOIN NOW |
HOU
|
+3.5
-110
|
u51
-110
|
+150
|
The Move: Opening total of 54.5 down to 51
Heavy action to the under correlates with the general theme of divisional games having lower total scores. It also very much goes against how the Colts and Texans have been trending in recent weeks. The Colts defense is far more talented than the one we saw against Tennessee last week, and they should be due for a bounce-back performance. Meanwhile, star Houston wideout Will Fuller just got suspended for the remainder of the season. Unfortunately, the current total of 51 carries far less value than the opening 54.5.
Broncos at Chiefs
|
DEN
|
+13.5
-110
|
o50.5
-110
|
+650
|
|---|---|---|---|---|
| JOIN NOW |
KC
|
-13.5
-110
|
u50.5
-110
|
-1115
|
The Move: Opening total of 48.5 up to 50.5
The first meeting between these AFC West foes this season went over the total thanks to the Chiefs getting scoring production from their defense and special teams. The Broncos didn't play bad defensively in that game, and they are actually a top-10 defense in terms of DVOA. It's hard to bet the under in any game featuring Patrick Mahomes, but I'd be hard-pressed to follow the line movement and play the over on this new number.
Find consensus odds from all major sportsbooks for Week 13 of the NFL >>
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Henry John is a featured writer at BettingPros. For more from Henry, check out his archive and follow him @HankTimeSports.