The NFL is gifting us another Monday Night Football doubleheader to close out Week 6. The Atlanta Falcons will host the Buffalo Bills at 7:15 p.m. ET, followed by an 8:15 p.m. ET kickoff between the Chicago Bears vs. Washington Commanders.
We’ll be diving into the top player props to bet on Monday Night Football. Last week’s Monday Night Football Player Props & Bets (Week 5) settled 0-3 during the Jaguars’ 31-28 comeback win against the Chiefs. Let’s bounce back with a profitable outing in Week 6 across both of these prime time matchups.
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The NFL is gifting us another Monday Night Football doubleheader to close out Week 6. The Atlanta Falcons will host the Buffalo Bills at 7:15 p.m. ET, followed by an 8:15 p.m. ET kickoff between the Chicago Bears vs. Washington Commanders.
We’ll be diving into the top player props to bet on Monday Night Football. Last week’s Monday Night Football Player Props & Bets (Week 5) settled 0-3 during the Jaguars’ 31-28 comeback win against the Chiefs. Let’s bounce back with a profitable outing in Week 6 across both of these prime time matchups.
Follow me on X at Matt_MacKay_ for more betting analysis and free picks during the 2025 NFL season.
Get instant alerts when a line reaches your target via the BettingPros App >>
Best NFL Monday Night Football Player Prop Picks
(Odds courtesy of FanDuel Sportsbook)
Atlanta’s star running back, Bijan Robinson, is set up for a great night out of the Falcons’ backfield. Buffalos’ run defense is allowing 5.6 YPC in 2025, tied for the second-worst mark in the league. Robinson has logged 75 or more rushing yards twice in four games, coming up just short with 72 rushing yards during a 30-0 shutout loss to Carolina.
Even if Buffalo takes an early lead, expect Falcons OC, Zac Robinson, to dial up carries for Robinson in a favorable matchup. After going 12-24 in Week 1, Robinson has broken 70 rushing yards in three straight contests. Bet on Atlanta’s best offensive player to finish with over 74.5 rushing yards against the Bills.
This play is correlated with how we predict Atlanta will game plan against one of the league’s worst run defenses. Falcons QB Michael Penix Jr. has had an up-and-down campaign during his second year. He’s played well at home, throwing all three of his touchdowns, while recording at least 298 passing yards in both games against Tampa Bay and Washington.
Penix likely won’t be tasked with a ton of passing volume. Buffalo’s run defense is bad, however, its pass defense is high-quality, holding opposing quarterbacks to 5.3 net yards gained per pass attempt, which ranks seventh-best in the NFL.
In four games, Penix has logged less than 32 pass attempts twice. He went over during the Falcons’ 30-0 shutout loss on the road in Carolina due to gamescript, while Tampa Bay’s stout run defense bottled up Robinson, forcing Penix to air it out.
Oddsmakers are leaning toward Penix going under 31.5 pass attempts at -128 odds. Let’s lay a bit of juice on this prop due to Buffalo’s porous run defense, which will allow Penix to function as a glorified game manager at home on Monday Night Football.
We’re heading to Landover, Maryland for the second game on Monday Night Football featuring the Washington Commanders and Chicago Bears. Neither of these defenses have played well in 2025, especially the Bears, allowing a league-worst 6.7 yards per play.
Commanders QB Jayden Daniels is back under center following a dominant road win against the Los Angeles Chargers in Week 5. Daniels is going up against a Chicago run defense allowing 6.1 YPC, ranked 32nd in the NFL.
Oddsmakers have set Daniels’ total rushing yards prop at 43.5. Daniels has gone over 43.5 rushing yards once in three games played. However, Washington’s signal-caller has logged seven or more carries in every game, which is why we’re going to bet on Daniels to go over 6.5 rush attempts.
Even with rookie RB Jacory Croskey-Merritt breaking out against the Chargers, Daniels’ versatility and effectiveness as a ball carrier will remain part of OC Kliff Kingsbury’s game plan. This line is juiced at -148 odds, however, it feels like a relatively sweat-free wager against the league’s worst run defense.
Matthew MacKay is a featured writer for BettingPros and FantasyPros. For more from Matthew, check out his archive and follow him @Matt_MacKay_.
