NFL Monday Night Football Touchdown Scorers: Broncos vs. Chiefs (Week 1)

Monday night, the Denver Broncos face the Kansas City Chiefs. Millions of dollars will be bet on this game. But which touchdown prop bets should you take? Let's dive into my picks for first team and anytime touchdown scorers.

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NFL Monday Night Football Touchdown Scorers: Broncos vs. Chiefs

Odds via DraftKings Sportsbook

Denver Broncos First TD Scorer: J.K. Dobbins (+425)

Unfortunately, Dobbins has struggled to stay healthy in his career, missing 53.5% of the games. Last year, the veteran missed the final seven contests, including both matchups against the Chiefs. However, he was productive before getting hurt. Dobbins had four rushing touchdowns over the first five weeks, scoring at least once in each of Denver's first three contests. More importantly, the Broncos remained committed to the run even with the veteran out of the lineup.

Despite missing their starting running back in both matchups against the division rivals, Denver stuck with the running game. In the two games against the Chiefs in 2025, the Broncos had three rushing touchdowns. Furthermore, Jaleel McLaughlin scored the first Denver touchdown in the Week 11 matchup against the Chiefs, the team's first game without Dobbins last season. The Broncos have no reason not to lean on the veteran, especially early in Monday's game.

Kansas City Chiefs First TD Scorer: Kenneth Walker III (+230)

After years of having little investment in the running back unit, the Chiefs signed Walker to a massive contract in free agency. The former Seattle Seahawks star will be the focal point of Kansas City's offense this season, especially with Patrick Mahomes coming off a significant knee injury. Last year, the former Michigan State star had five rushing touchdowns as a part-time player for Seattle. However, he is a dangerous runner with the ball in his hands.

Before losing goal-line work to Zach Charbonnet in 2025, Walker had a 4% rushing touchdown rate in his career. More importantly, the Broncos have an elite pass defense, but their run defense is somewhat vulnerable. Denver surrendered 14 touchdowns to running backs last season, with six coming in the air, the third-most in the NFL. Furthermore, the first Chiefs touchdown scored in both of last year's matchups against the Broncos was by a running back.

Anytime TD Scorer: Jaylen Waddle (+205)

Denver might have the best roster in the NFL, lacking any significant holes on paper. However, the team did need a go-to No. 1 wide receiver, especially with Courtland Sutton on the wrong side of 30. Therefore, it's no surprise that the Broncos traded multiple draft picks to acquire Waddle with plans to make him a focal point of the offense. Despite playing on a dysfunctional Miami Dolphins offense in 2025, the veteran still had six receiving touchdowns.

Last year, the Chiefs held wide receivers to only 10 receiving touchdowns, the fifth-fewest in the NFL. Unfortunately, Kansas City's Week 1 secondary looks drastically than the unit they had last season. The Chiefs lost three starters in the secondary this offseason, as cornerbacks Trent McDuffie and Jaylen Watkins, plus safety Brian Cook, are no longer on the roster. Expect first-time play-caller Davis Webb to make Waddle a massive part of the game plan against Kansas City.

Anytime TD Scorer: Travis Kelce (+205)

While Kelce is no longer the elite tight end he was a few years ago, the future Hall of Famer is still an impact player. Last year, the veteran led the Chiefs with five receiving touchdowns despite not having Patrick Mahomes for the entire season. More importantly, Kelce found the end zone in last year's Week 11 matchup against the Broncos with superstar quarterback under center. Bettors shouldn't be surprised if that happens again in Week 1.

Many believe Kansas City will limit Mahomes’ time in the pocket on Monday night. Therefore, Kelce should see an uptick in quick targets as the team's most reliable receiver. Meanwhile, Denver's elite pass defense had mixed results defending tight ends in 2025, allowing six receiving touchdowns. Kelce has scored a touchdown in his last two games against the Broncos with Mahomes under center. Don't be shocked if he makes it three in a row on Monday night.

Mike Fanelli is a featured writer at BettingPros. For more from Mike, check out his archive and follow him @Mike_NFL2.