Can the Patriots keep their Cinderella season going in the Wild Card round, or will the injury-plagued but resilient Chargers derail them?
Here are a couple of my favorite NFL Wild Card Weekend player props from this Sunday-night AFC showdown in Foxborough.
Before we dig in, a quick recap of Week 18:
Wins: Jalen McMillan under 33.5 receiving yards, Kenneth Gainwell over 27.5 receiving yards
Losses: Riley Leonard under 174.5 passing yards, Lamar Jackson over 24.5 rushing yards, Drake London under 67.5 receiving yards
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Can the Patriots keep their Cinderella season going in the Wild Card round, or will the injury-plagued but resilient Chargers derail them?
Here are a couple of my favorite NFL Wild Card Weekend player props from this Sunday-night AFC showdown in Foxborough.
Before we dig in, a quick recap of Week 18:
Wins: Jalen McMillan under 33.5 receiving yards, Kenneth Gainwell over 27.5 receiving yards
Losses: Riley Leonard under 174.5 passing yards, Lamar Jackson over 24.5 rushing yards, Drake London under 67.5 receiving yards
Get instant alerts when a line reaches your target via the BettingPros App >>
Chargers vs. Patriots Wild Card Weekend Props
Last week: 2-3 | Season record: 73-50 | All odds are from Hard Rock Bet.
Here are a couple of NFL Wild Card Weekend props from this game I like.
Rhamondre Stevenson has cleared this number in each of his last five games. He's been brutally efficient in recent weeks, averaging an outrageous 9.6 yards per carry since Week 15.
The Patriots will be facing a Chargers defense that's better against the pass than it is against the run. The Chargers rank 10th in DVOA (defense-adjusted value over average) versus the pass and 19th in DVOA against the run.
With temperatures in the mid-20s and gusty winds of 10 to 20 miles per hour (MPH) on Saturday night in Foxborough, conditions might favor the run.
The Patriots have the sixth-most rushing yards on the season. While Stevenson now shares backfield duties with rookie back TreVeyon Henderson, he should get enough carries - and should be efficient enough with those carries - to clear this low bar.
Quentin Johnston has quietly enjoyed a fine season. He's averaging 52.5 receiving yards per game and has eight touchdowns. Johnston has averaged a career-high 8.8 yards per target.
In his last two games, Johnston had four catches for 104 yards and a touchdown against the Cowboys and five catches for 98 yards against a tough Texans defense. Johnston has beaten this number in nine out of 14 games this season.
Johnston could get some face time with Patriots cornerback Christian Gonzalez, one of the better young cover men in the game. But Johnston is a big-play receiver who might only need one or two catches to hit the over on this yardage prop. I like his chances.
