In the final game of the Wild Card round, the Texans face the Steelers on Monday night in Pittsburgh. Both teams have tough defenses and limited offenses, which could make this game a low-scoring rock fight.
Accordingly, my two favorite NFL Wild Card Weekend player props in this game are unders. Let's take a closer look.
Before we dig in, a quick recap of Week 18:
Wins: Jalen McMillan under 33.5 receiving yards, Kenneth Gainwell over 27.5 receiving yards
Losses: Riley Leonard under 174.5 passing yards, Lamar Jackson over 24.5 rushing yards, Drake London under 67.5 receiving yards
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In the final game of the Wild Card round, the Texans face the Steelers on Monday night in Pittsburgh. Both teams have tough defenses and limited offenses, which could make this game a low-scoring rock fight.
Accordingly, my two favorite NFL Wild Card Weekend player props in this game are unders. Let's take a closer look.
Before we dig in, a quick recap of Week 18:
Wins: Jalen McMillan under 33.5 receiving yards, Kenneth Gainwell over 27.5 receiving yards
Losses: Riley Leonard under 174.5 passing yards, Lamar Jackson over 24.5 rushing yards, Drake London under 67.5 receiving yards
Get instant alerts when a line reaches your target via the BettingPros App >>
Texans vs. Steelers Wild Card Weekend Props
Last week: 2-3 | Season record: 73-50 | All odds are from Hard Rock Bet.
Here are a couple of NFL Wild Card Weekend props from this game I like.
Woody Marks has not been an efficient runner in his rookie season. He's averaging just 3.6 yards per carry and 2.59 yards after contact per attempt, per Pro Football Focus (PFF), which ranks 52nd among running backs with at least 70 carries this season.
Marks' offensive line doesn't always give him much help. The Texans rank 24th in run blocking adjusted line yards. Houston is graded 21st in run blocking by PFF.
Marks has a tough matchup Monday against a rugged Pittsburgh run defense. The Steelers rank sixth in DVOA (defense-adjusted value over average) against the run. They've given up 73.3 rushing yards per game over the last four weeks. The Steelers yielded 126 rushing yards to the Ravens' Derrick Henry last week, but Henry had 41 yards on his first carry and then carried 19 times for 85 yards the rest of the way.
Marks is no Henry. Bet the under on Marks' rushing yardage.
Pat Freiermuth has beaten this number in just six out of 17 games this season. He has averaged 3.2 targets, 2.4 catches and 28.6 receiving yards per game.
With DK Metcalf suspended for the Steelers' last two regular-season games, Freiermuth stepped up and had six catches for 114 yards. But Metcalf is back for the Wild Card round, so Freiermuth might not be quite as busy.
And Freiermuth's matchup with the Texans is nasty. Houston has allowed the eighth-fewest receiving yards to tight ends this season.
The under is a solid play here.
