We kick off Week 5 with a divisional Thursday Night matchup between the San Francisco 49ers and Los Angeles Rams. Injuries have absolutely decimated the 49ers. Brock Purdy is out, which leaves Mac Jones, who is also dealing with a knee injury, as the starting quarterback. The Rams have a golden opportunity to take sole ownership of the NFC West at home against an ailing opponent.
Without any further delay, let's get into our favorite NFL Thursday Night Football player props for Week 5.
We kick off Week 5 with a divisional Thursday Night matchup between the San Francisco 49ers and Los Angeles Rams. Injuries have absolutely decimated the 49ers. Brock Purdy is out, which leaves Mac Jones, who is also dealing with a knee injury, as the starting quarterback. The Rams have a golden opportunity to take sole ownership of the NFC West at home against an ailing opponent.
Without any further delay, let's get into our favorite NFL Thursday Night Football player props for Week 5.
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Thursday’s Best NFL Player Props & Bets: Rams vs. 49ers
(Odds courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook)
Mac Jones Over 32.5 Passing Attempts (-106) & Over 20.5 Completions (-115)
Mac Jones gets another start at the helm for the 49ers, as the team takes on a divisional foe in the Los Angeles Rams. Jones is only a few days removed from being unable to perform on Sunday, when the newly acquired quarterback sat out due to a minor PCL injury. To make matters worse, San Francisco will also be without the services of Ricky Pearsall and Juan Jennings, who are also dealing with injuries.
Things are usually bad for the 49ers to start the season in terms of injuries. However, the situation is well beyond concerning going into Week 5. Jones, who is most likely still dealing with complications himself, will have to make the most of the opportunity, and that puts a tremendous emphasis on completions.
The San Francisco running game has not produced at the level of efficiency as expected, and the passing game has been the beneficiary. Christian McCaffery is averaging only 2.2 yards before contact and one yard after contact. That type of production from a starting running back is just not going to cut the mustard. San Francisco will most likely have to rely heavily on the passing attack in this contest.
Jones has completed over 20.5 passes on two occasions this season in two opportunities. Jones is completing passes at a 66% clip and has not attempted fewer than 39 attempts in his two previous starts. The veteran quarterback has not finished with fewer than 26 completed passes on the season.
Kendrick Bourne 4+ Receptions (-107)
If the Niners are going to be passing the ball successfully, that would entail that those completions are going to one of the very few options San Francisco has available. You could take a look at any wide receiver or tight end for the Niners in regards to receptions for this contest. We simply feel it's most logical to go with the quarterback's most familiar option.
Kendrick Bourne has caught eight passes on 13 targets this season. Bourne pulled in seven receptions over the last two games and now becomes the No. 1 WR on a team that will seriously need to make up for inefficiencies in the running game. The veteran wideout has recorded four receptions or more in one of the last two contests.
Bourne has reeled in at least four passes or more in the last three out of five contests with Mac Jones at quarterback. The 30-year-old wide receiver looks to be in a fantastic spot to finish this contest with at least four receptions based on opportunity alone.
Davante Adams Longest Reception Over 21.5 Yards (-120)
Davante Adams heads into this contest with 269 yards on 17 receptions. Adama is gaining 15.8 yards per catch, while pulling in 4.25 catches per contest. The Los Angeles wide receiver has eclipsed 21.5 yards on a longest reception in all four games played this season.
Adams is averaging a longest reception of 31.5 yards over the previous four contests, and has not finished a contest with a longest reception below 24 yards. The wideout has 35 targets on the season, and is averaging the 10th-highest amount of air yards through four games with 402 (100.5 per game).
San Francisco has allowed a below league average of 84 completions, on the ninth-highest completion rate (68.3%) and has given up seven passes on the season of 20+ yards. Adams is 4-0 on the season to record a reception of at least 22 yards, and we feel that streak continues against their divisional rival this evening.
Davante Adams Anytime Touchdown Scorer (-105)
A pass for 22 yards or more that results in Davante Adams scoring a touchdown would knock out two props on this list in one fell swoop. That's what we are banking on, and the probability is extremely high considering recent production. Adams has scored a touchdown in three out of four games this season.
San Francisco has conceded five passing touchdowns over the previous three contests, including three against the Saints. Stating that Matthew Stafford is a completely different talent from Spencer Rattler would be putting it mildly. San Francisco recorded exactly zero sacks or pressures against Jacksonville last week, and we expect Stafford to have ample time to find Adams in the end zone for a score.
Except for the first game against Houston, Adams has scored in three consecutive games. The wide receiver for the Rams is averaging 4.2 receptions per contest, and has a 75% success rate in terms of scoring. Obviously, that is not sustainable over the course of the season. Having said that, Adams is in a great position to bring his current streak scoring stream to four games.
Eddy Pineiro 2+ Field Goals (-132)
The -132 odds are not the kind of return to get excited about. However, the Niners are going to need points from every facet if they want to make this contest competitive. The veteran kicker has made at least two field goals in all three of his games for San Francisco.
The 49ers kicker is averaging 2.3 field goals on the season on seven attempts. Eddy Pineiro owns a field goal rate of 100% through three games and has also recorded two field goals in his only road game. The Niners are only scoring on 42.86% of their attempts in the red zone.
Los Angeles is allowing 2.25 field goals made per game, and opponents have made two or more three-point kicks in three out of four contests on the season. The opposition has made at least three field goals in two out of four contests.
Enjoy the game tonight and best of luck with your picks.
