NFL Thursday Night Football PrizePicks Player Predictions: Bengals vs. Ravens (Week 11)

The Bengals and Ravens are opening Week 11 in an AFC North slobberknocker. Cincinnati lost to Baltimore in Week 2, and their stud signal-caller is without one of his top-shelf wideouts. Conversely, Baltimore’s offense is mainly healthy and should get big performances from a pair of their best players.

Here are my best PrizePicks player predictions for Week 11, “Thursday Night Football,” Bengals vs. Ravens.

Our PrizePicks Cheat Sheet helps bettors by comparing lines from PrizePicks vs. our weekly NFL projections >>

Here are my best PrizePicks player predictions for Week 11, “Thursday Night Football,” Bengals vs. Ravens.

Our PrizePicks Cheat Sheet helps bettors by comparing lines from PrizePicks vs. our weekly NFL projections >>

Best TNF Week 11 PrizePicks Player Predictions

Joe Burrow UNDER 257.5 Passing Yards

Joe Burrow has comfortably cleared 257.5 passing yards in three games since Cincinnati’s bye and appears healthy after battling a calf injury earlier in the year. So, the over would initially seem like a no-brainer pick for his prop for passing yards.

However, Tee Higgins is out, and the matchup is lousy. In four games against the Ravens with Mike Macdonald as the club’s defensive coordinator, Burrow has averaged only 215.75 passing yards per game. Burrow has cleared 220 passing yards only once against the Ravens since last year, passing for 222 yards against Baltimore in Week 2.

The way teams have attacked the Ravens is also suboptimal for Burrow’s passing outlook. According to RotoViz’s pace app, Baltimore’s opponents have run on 55% of their 87 plays in neutral game scripts since Week 7. Moreover, the Bengals ran on 51% of their plays in a neutral game script against the Ravens in Week 2. Finally, the Ravens have allowed only one quarterback to exceed 257.5 passing yards against them this year.

Lamar Jackson OVER 44.5 Rushing Yards

Unsurprisingly, Lamar Jackson is still gashing teams on the ground, even in a new offense this season. According to Pro-Football-Reference, he’s averaging 48.1 rushing yards per game, with a median of 43.0 this season. Jackson’s also gaining more yards on scrambles (5.5 yards per scramble) than his season average of 5.2 yards per attempt.

Jackson might have more opportunities to scramble if the Ravens follow their recent offensive tendencies against Lou Anarumo’s defense. The Ravens passed on 67% of their 30 plays in a neutral game script against the Bengals in Week 2. Furthermore, while Greg Roman was the offensive coordinator when Jackson faced Cincinnati in Week 5 in 2022 and Week 7 in 2021, they had neutral-game-script pass rates of 72% and 74%, respectively.

Jackson thrived as a runner in his last three meetings against the Bengals, rumbling for 88, 58 and 54 yards. In fact, the electrifying quarterback ran for over 44.5 yards in all but one of his eight starts against Cincinnati. The Bengals have also yielded 36.3 rushing yards per game to quarterbacks in three games since their bye. Jackson is arguably the most talented running quarterback and can take advantage of the matchup on the ground this week, as he’s frequently done against his AFC North rival.

Mark Andrews OVER 54.5 Receiving Yards

Mark Andrews should eat the Bengals alive. The stud tight end has averaged 76.0 receiving yards per game, with a median of 73 against the Bengals in five matchups since 2021.

Cincinnati is getting smashed by tight ends lately, too. The Bengals have coughed up 100.3 receiving yards per game to tight ends in their last three games.

This prop is more than a matchup-driven suggestion. Andrews is averaging 57.9 receiving yards per game this year, with a median of 63.

Make sure to check out our other best bets for Thursday:

Josh Shepardson is a featured writer at BettingPros. For more from Josh, check out his archive and follow him @BChad50.