NFL Week 10 PrizePicks Player Predictions: Sunday (2023)

Following last week’s incredible matchups, this week underwhelms for the most part. The games might not have the most intrigue, but that’s why we have betting and fantasy sports. This article will preview a few player prop angles via PrizePicks. Best of luck however you craft your entries over there!

Check out all of our predictions using our PrizePicks cheat sheet >>

Best NFL Week 10 PrizePicks Player Predictions

This season: 31-31

Deandre Hopkins Over 60.5 Receiving Yards

Will Levis has been airing it out to Deandre Hopkins in his first two games as a starter. D-Hop has 17 targets in these games, amounting to a 4/60 line last week and a 4/128 line the week prior. This week he and the Titans take on the Buccaneers who have been among the league’s worst at defending the pass. They are 26th in dropback EPA per play and have permitted the most receiving yards to opposing wideouts.

Mike Evans Over 61.5 Receiving Yards

Similar to Tampa Bay, Tennessee can be beaten through the air. They are 27th in dropback EPA per play and have allowed the 6th most receiving yards to receivers. They have allowed at least one wideout to eclipse this mark in seven of their nine contests this season. Mike Evans has surpassed this line in five of eight games averaging 74 yards per game.

Amon-Ra St. Brown Over 83.5 Receiving Yards

Unlike years in the past, the Chargers have been stingy against the run. They are 8th in rush EPA per play and 7th in yards per carry allowed to tailbacks (3.61). The Bolts can be beaten through the air though, ranking 23rd in dropback EPA per play and 29th in yards allowed to wide receivers.

Per Pro Football Focus, the Chargers play zone at the 9th-highest rate. In this coverage, they have permitted 11.5 yards per catch (bottom 10) and given up an explosive play at the 3rd-highest rate. The "Sun God" is 4th in fantasy points and 8th in receiving grade vs. zone coverage. He has 102+ receiving yards in five of seven games this season and should be able to surpass this line once again.

DK Metcalf Over 67.5 Receiving Yards

Taking on the Commanders is as good as it gets for any aerial attack. They are 30th in dropback EPA per play and have allowed the 5th-most yards to opposing wideouts. Over the last few weeks, we have seen plenty of big-time receivers go over this mark. Stefon Diggs (8/111), A.J. Brown on two occasions (9/175 and 8/130), Devonta Smith (7/78 and 7/99), D.J. Moore (8/230), and Drake London (9/125) have all had big days. Metcalf was added to the injury report on Thursday with a hip injury, but as long as he is out there he should get over this line.

Dalton Kincaid Over 51.5 Receiving Yards

Let’s go back to the Bills rookie Tight End. Without Dawson Knox in the fold, Dalton Kincaid has emerged. Over the last three weeks, he has 26 targets, behind only Stefon Diggs on the Bills, who has 29. His three-game log is as follows: 8/75, 5/65, and 10/81. The usage is undeniable and now he draws the team that has ceded the most production to tight ends this season.

A lot of that can be chalked up to facing Travis Kelce twice (9/124 and 6/58), but Cole Kmet (7/85) and Tyler Conklin (4/67) have also had their way against them. The Bills defense isn't holding anyone down these days, and they will likely be forced to throw throughout the contest on Monday night. Back the rookie to get it done once again.

Breece Hall Over 62.5 Rushing Yards

What a dreadful week of primetime games. Luckily we have fantasy and betting to keep us interested, so let's look to one of the more entertaining young tailbacks to watch in Breece Hall. The Jets eased him along to start the season, but this backfield is 100% his now. Over the last three weeks, he has played on roughly 63% of snaps and has handled 40-of-49 carries to running backs. The rush attempts haven't amounted to much, but they should in this contest taking on Las Vegas.

The Raiders are 28th in rush EPA per play allowed and 30th in yards per carry to running backs. They have allowed a running back to rush for 65 yards or more in seven of nine games this season.

Make sure to check out our other best bets for Saturday:

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Tyler Gentile is a featured writer at BettingPros. For more from Tyler, follow him @808Paperboi.