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NFL Week 11 Odds, Picks & Predictions: Underdog Bets (2025)

NFL Week 11 Odds, Picks & Predictions: Underdog Bets (2025)

Week 10 saw four underdogs win outright, highlighted by the most surprising one of them all, the 9.5-point underdog Miami Dolphins dominating the Buffalo Bills. That's four out of 12 games on Sunday for a whopping 33%. Which NFL underdogs can win this week?

We've got a few ideas on some promising candidates that we'd like to share with you. The following are our best NFL Week 11 underdog bets.

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Best NFL Week 11 Underdog Bets

Detroit Lions vs. Philadelphia Eagles

Detroit is coming off a 44-point outing against the Commanders, which saw them score on their first eight drives of the game and generate over 500 yards of offense. The Eagles are coming off a 10-7 win over Green Bay that can best be described as ugly. Philadelphia has not made proper use of Saquon Barkley (64.3 yards per game) this season and hasn't done a great job in the passing game either (191.7 passing yards per game allowed).

But the Eagles have a knack for finding ways to win. However, with how well the Lions are playing, there isn't a team in the NFL that they can't compete with. As for the Eagles, it is hard to know what they'll look like from one week to the next.

Pick: Lions Moneyline (+130 at BetMGM)


Carolina Panthers vs. Atlanta Falcons

I would typically stay away from this game since Bryce Young hasn't been able to do much on offense this season, and the Falcons’ defense has been pretty tough. But then Atlanta let Jonathan Taylor rumble for 244 yards last week in Berlin and gain 286 total yards from scrimmage.

Rico Dowdle is no Taylor, but he has shown that he can take an inch from defenses and turn it into a mile. If the Falcons lean hard on Dowdle, he could have success similar to what Taylor and the Colts enjoyed last week. The talent is there on the Atlanta offense to dominate the game, but ever since their big win over the Bills a few weeks ago, the Falcons’ offense has been unreliable.

Pick: Panthers Moneyline (+165 at Fanatics Sportsbook)


Cincinnati Bengals vs. Pittsburgh Steelers

The line on this game is a little surprising. Since Joe Flacco stepped in to play quarterback for the Bengals, the offense has been explosive, averaging 32.8 points per game with him under center. This includes a 33-31 win over the Steelers a few weeks ago. We just watched the Steelers struggle against the Chargers, ultimately losing 25-10. Pittsburgh's defense can be good, but it has been inconsistent.

However, the big problem has been the offense. Aaron Rodgers no longer resembles the player Green Bay Packers fans once adored. He plays not to lose and can't be counted on to be why his team wins a game. But for some odd reason, the Steelers are a 5.5-point favorite, which means there is a ton of value on the Bengals and the Moneyline.

Pick: Bengals Moneyline (+210 at bet365)


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