NFL Week 14 PrizePicks Player Predictions: Sunday (2023)

We’re onto Week 14! This is the final week of byes with Washington and Arizona off. Let’s find a bounce-back week after a lackluster Week 13. As always, this article will preview a few of the best player prop angles for PrizePicks in my eyes. Let’s dive right into it for Week 14.

Check out all of our predictions using our PrizePicks cheat sheet >>

Best NFL Week 14 PrizePicks Player Predictions

This season: 44-47

Josh Allen Over 33.5 Rush Yards

The Bills are in must-win mode right now, and that means we should see Josh Allen in Superman mode. Last game against the Eagles we saw that on display, as he finished with a season-high 81 yards on the ground on nine carries. The game against Kansas City should be a back-and-forth affair, and Allen has a history of running all over this defense. In five games facing K.C., Allen has rush lines of 8/42, 7,88, 11/59, 11/68, and 12/32. Lastly, the Chiefs have the t-3rd-best pressure rate, which should force Allen into scramble mode even more so.

James Cook Over 72.5 Rush+Rec Yards

Another Bills prop for what should be a banger of a game. The Chiefs are getting gashed on the ground and are 31st in EPA and yards per carry allowed to running backs. Per Next Gen Stats, Cook is one of the better running backs in the league, ranking 9th in rush yards over expected per attempt. I'm tacking on the receiving yards here due to the nature of these offenses. There's always a chance for a shootout with Mahomes and Allen going at it. Cook has 71+ rushing+receiving in 9-of-12 games, averaging roughly 87 total yards per game.

Jamaal Williams Over 21.5 Rush Yards

The Saints are incredibly beat up on offense right now. Neither Rashid Shaheed nor Taysom Hill have practiced all week, Chris Olave was added to the injury report as he deals with the flu, Michael Thomas is on IR, and Derek Carr is dealing with like four injuries. Last week Taysom Hill had 13 carries! If he’s out, which all signs are pointing to him missing the game or being limited, Williams will have to see more work, and the best way to move the ball against Carolina is on the ground. They are last in rush EPA allowed, and have permitted the 4th most rush yards and 5th highest YPC to tailbacks.

Justin Jefferson Over 70.5 Receiving Yards

-He’s baaaaaaack. It sounds like he could’ve gone on MNF a couple of weeks back, but they elected to give him an additional two weeks of rest. There’s some concern about how he and Dobbs will connect, but he’s the best wideout in the game in a solid matchup against the Raiders. The last few top receivers to take on Las Vegas include Rasheed Rice (8/107), Tyreek Hill (10/146), Garrett Wilson (9/93), and Amon-Ra St. Brown (6/108). Jefferson has been a full participant in practice all week, and this number is simply too low for him.

Jake Ferguson Over 43.5 Receiving Yards

We're in for a treat on Sunday Night Football between the beasts of the NFC East. There should be plenty of offense to go around here, and as always, I'm here to tell you all to fade the Eagles’ secondary. They are 25th in dropback EPA per play and can be beaten across the middle of the field, where Jake Ferguson typically runs his routes. The last time these teams squared off, Ferguson fielded 10 targets and hauled in 7 for 91 yards and a touchdown.

Nico Collins Under 67.5 Receiving Yards

With Tank Dell out, Collins should see a bump in production, right? Think again. This looks like a weather game that is going to heavily effect the passing game. Plus, to make matters worse for Collins, the Jets have one of the best defenses in the league. They’re fifth in EPA per play and have allowed the fewest yards to opposing receivers.

Russell Wilson Over 26.5 Rushing Yards

Russell Wilson has turned back the clock and is running the way he once did. We're seeing designed runs for Mr. Unlimited, and he's coming off back-to-back games with double-digit rush attempts. He has 30 or more rush yards in six of his last eight games and I'd expect that type of production to continue against the Chargers. With a 2.5-point spread separating the teams, this game should be tightly contested throughout, and Wilson has shown a willingness to take off and run.

Tyler Gentile is a featured writer at BettingPros. For more from Tyler, follow him @808Paperboi.