Week 2 isn’t even over yet, but Week 3 lines are already live.
The future awaits.
For the past few NFL seasons, each Sunday night I've written an early bets piece highlighting some applicable trends I've noticed for the upcoming week.
I'm not a trends bettor, but I find that historical situational data helps me identify spots I should consider further when analyzing games.
So here are some trends for Week 3 as well as some early bets I like based on the current lines in the market and my early personal projections (which I will update throughout the week along with our premium BettingPros spread projections).
Prop Bet Analyzer: View top rated props and historical prop performance by player >>
Week 2 isn’t even over yet, but Week 3 lines are already live.
The future awaits.
For the past few NFL seasons, each Sunday night I've written an early bets piece highlighting some applicable trends I've noticed for the upcoming week.
I'm not a trends bettor, but I find that historical situational data helps me identify spots I should consider further when analyzing games.
So here are some trends for Week 3 as well as some early bets I like based on the current lines in the market and my early personal projections (which I will update throughout the week along with our premium BettingPros spread projections).
Prop Bet Analyzer: View top rated props and historical prop performance by player >>
Note: These aren't all the trends I'm seeing and all the early bets I like. These are just a few of them. For more of my early Week 3 bets, check out the BettingPros App.
All lines and odds are from the BettingPros NFL odds page and as of Sept. 18. All the historical trends information is from Action Network and goes back to 2003. Abbreviations: Against the spread (ATS), return on investment (ROI), moneyline (ML).
All odds are from the following sportsbooks.
Click on the sportsbook links above to check out their promotional offers. If you're not taking advantage of these deals, you're basically admitting to yourself that you hate money.
Pittsburgh Steelers at Cleveland Browns
Check out our Steelers at Browns matchup page.
- Kickoff: Thursday, Sept. 22, 2022, 8:15 pm ET
- Location: FirstEnergy Stadium
- TV: Prime Video
Steelers at Browns: Consensus Lines
- Spread: Browns -3.5
- Over/Under: 40.0
- Moneyline: Browns -175, Steelers +145
Pittsburgh Steelers Trends
- HC Mike Tomlin: 46-23-3 ATS (29.4% ROI) as underdog
- HC Mike Tomlin: 38-34 ML (34.0% ROI) as underdog
- HC Mike Tomlin: 51-37-3 ATS (13.4% ROI) in division
- HC Mike Tomlin: 63-27-1 ML (16.9% ROI) in division
- HC Mike Tomlin: 20-6-2 ATS (44.9% ROI) as divisional underdog
- HC Mike Tomlin: 16-12 ML (42.2% ROI) as divisional underdog
- HC Mike Tomlin: 4-0 ATS (89.9% ROI) vs. Browns HC Kevin Stefanski
- HC Mike Tomlin: 3-1 ML (62.5% ROI) vs. Browns HC Kevin Stefanski
Steelers at Browns: Early Bet
- Bet: Steelers +3.5
- Early Projection: Steelers +0.75
- Odds: -110
- Sportsbook: Caesars
- Date & Time: Sunday, Sept. 18, 9 p.m. ET
- Units: 1.1
- Limit: +3
Note: I first posted this pick in the BettingPros app via the lookahead line of +3 (-110, Caesars).
Baltimore Ravens at New England Patriots
Check out our Ravens at Patriots matchup page.
- Kickoff: Sunday, Sept. 25, 2022, 1 pm ET
- Location: Gillette Stadium
- TV: FOX
Ravens at Patriots: Consensus Lines
- Spread: Ravens -3
- Over/Under: 44
- Moneyline: Ravens -150, Patriots +123
New England Patriots Trends
- HC Bill Belichick: 29-24-1 ATS (7.9% ROI) without QB Tom Brady
- HC Bill Belichick: 30-16-2 ATS (26.8% ROI) as underdog
- HC Bill Belichick: 25-23 ML (33.5% ROI) as underdog
- HC Bill Belichick: 5-1-1 ATS (54.1% ROI) vs. Ravens HC John Harbaugh
- HC Bill Belichick: 5-2 ML (49.3% ROI) vs. Ravens HC John Harbaugh
Ravens at Patriots: Early Bet
- Bet: Patriots +3
- Early Projection: Patriots -0.75
- Odds: -110
- Sportsbook: FanDuel
- Date & Time: Sunday, Sept. 18, 9 p.m. ET
- Units: 1.1
- Limit: +2
Note: I first posted this pick in the BettingPros app via the lookahead line of +3 (-108, Bet Rivers).
Detroit Lions at Minnesota Vikings
Check out our Lions at Vikings matchup page.
- Kickoff: Sunday, Sept. 25, 2022, 1 pm ET
- Location: U.S. Bank Stadium
- TV: FOX
Lions at Vikings: Consensus Lines
- Spread: Vikings -7.5
- Over/Under: 51
- Moneyline: Vikings -345, Lions +265
Detroit Lions Trends
- HC Dan Campbell: 13-6 ATS (30.9% ROI) overall
- HC Dan Campbell: 4-2 ATS (27.6% ROI) in division
- HC Dan Campbell: 5-1 ATS (58.8% ROI) vs. teams with record above .500
Lions at Vikings: Early Bet
- Bet: Lions +7.5
- Early Projection: Lions +5
- Odds: -110
- Sportsbook: DraftKings
- Date & Time: Sunday, Sept. 18, 9 p.m. ET
- Units: 1.1
- Limit: +6.5
Note: I first posted this pick in the BettingPros app via the lookahead line of +7.5 (-110, DraftKings).
Week 2 Record
- Picks in BettingPros tracker: 6-3-1 (+2.64 units)*
- Picks in $1M DraftKings picks pool: 4-1
Year-to-Date Record
- Picks in BettingPros tracker: 11-6-1 (+4.39 units)*
- Picks in $1M DraftKings picks pool: 7-3
* Waiting on Bills -9.5
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