I know nothing about hockey. I cannot emphasize that enough. Despite knowing almost nothing about the sport, I built a “model” (set of spreadsheets) in the late spring of 2019 to project player production for the NHL playoffs, because March Madness and the NFL draft had ended and my degeneracy knows no bounds.

I did well.

Today was my worst NHL prop betting slate of the postseason: Lucky to go 4-5-1 (-1.52).

Total playoffs record: 101-53-8 (+39.56).

Looking forward to working on my player projections for the next few months and attacking props hard when the regular season starts in October.

— Matthew Freedman (@MattFtheOracle) June 13, 2019

Whenever the 2019-20 season started in the fall I didn’t have the bandwidth to build out the model as I’d intended — and then the sport was suspended in the spring because of the pandemic, so I’ve never returned to betting NHL player props.

That changed during the 2023 NHL playoffs. Every day moving forward — with plenty of necessary help from Kelly Kirby, who knows hockey very well — my model will project the lineups for every team and the following stats for each skater and goalie we expect to play.

Skaters: Goals, Assists, Points, Shots, Blocks
Goalies: Saves

Basically, all the markets supported on our NHL player props page.

I’ll post my player props in our FREE BettingPros Discord — so be sure to join the Discord for early notice.

If there’s a bet that you like or injury situation you think I should be aware of when doing projections, please hit me up on Twitter @MattFtheOracle.

NHL Playoffs Player Prop Bet Picks

All betting odds are from:

Carolina Hurricanes Player Prop Bet Picks

Prop	Odds	Units	To Win	Book
Brent Burns Under 3.5 Shots	-114	1.14	1	UB
Seth Jarvis Under 2.5 Shots	-125	1.25	1	DK
Jesper Fast Under 0.5 Points	-160	0.8	0.5	DK
Jordan Martinook Under 0.5 Points	-155	0.775	0.5	DK
Brent Burns Under 1.5 Blocks	-115	1.15	1	MGM
Brett Pesce Under 1.5 Blocks	140	1	1.4	DK

Florida Panthers Player Prop Bet Picks

Prop	Odds	Units	To Win	Book
Carter Verhaeghe Over 2.5 Shots	-125	1.25	1	UB
Sam Bennett Under 0.5 Points	102	1	1.02	FD
Brandon Montour Under 1.5 Blocks	100	1	1	DK
Gustav Forsling Under 1.5 Blocks	-110	1.1	1	MGM

Carolina Hurricanes vs. Florida Panthers Player Projections

Carolina Hurricanes Player Projections

Position	Player	Proj Goals	Proj Asts	Proj Pts	Proj Shots	Proj Blocks	Proj Saves
2LD	Brady Skjei	0.13	0.20	0.33	2.21	0.87	NA
1RD	Brent Burns	0.16	0.43	0.59	2.97	1.19	NA
2RD	Brett Pesce	0.07	0.25	0.32	1.66	1.51	NA
1LD	Jaccob Slavin	0.06	0.22	0.28	1.64	1.54	NA
4LW	Jack Drury	0.09	0.14	0.23	1.83	0.51	NA
3RD	Jalen Chatfield	0.05	0.08	0.13	1.14	0.92	NA
2RW	Jesper Fast	0.11	0.20	0.31	0.91	0.57	NA
2C	Jesperi Kotkaniemi	0.15	0.25	0.41	1.52	0.30	NA
2LW	Jordan Martinook	0.14	0.21	0.36	1.90	0.43	NA
3C	Jordan Staal	0.15	0.17	0.32	1.45	0.55	NA
4RW	Mackenzie MacEachern	0.09	0.13	0.22	1.09	0.37	NA
3LW	Martin Nečas	0.31	0.43	0.74	2.77	0.29	NA
4C	Paul Stastny	0.12	0.14	0.27	1.03	0.28	NA
1C	Sebastian Aho-C	0.40	0.33	0.74	2.73	0.31	NA
1LW	Seth Jarvis	0.21	0.25	0.47	2.21	0.68	NA
3LD	Shayne Gostisbehere	0.12	0.25	0.37	1.61	1.10	NA
1RW	Stefan Noesen	0.17	0.32	0.50	2.19	0.35	NA
3RW	Teuvo Teräväinen	0.19	0.30	0.49	2.01	0.30	NA
Goalie	Antti Raanta	NA	NA	NA	NA	NA	28.4

Florida Panthers Player Projections

Position	Player	Proj Goals	Proj Asts	Proj Pts	Proj Shots	Proj Blocks	Proj Saves
1RD	Aaron Ekblad	0.14	0.24	0.39	2.40	1.10	NA
1C	Aleksander Barkov	0.30	0.58	0.89	2.44	0.69	NA
1RW	Anthony Duclair	0.20	0.26	0.46	1.75	0.45	NA
3C	Anton Lundell	0.15	0.21	0.36	1.66	0.43	NA
2LD	Brandon Montour	0.13	0.52	0.65	2.42	1.15	NA
1LW	Carter Verhaeghe	0.36	0.28	0.63	2.72	0.38	NA
4RW	Colin White	0.07	0.07	0.14	0.71	0.40	NA
3RW	Eetu Luostarinen	0.12	0.23	0.35	1.27	0.61	NA
4C	Eric Staal	0.11	0.14	0.25	1.11	0.58	NA
1LD	Gustav Forsling	0.11	0.25	0.35	2.04	1.27	NA
3RD	Josh Mahura	0.04	0.10	0.14	0.73	0.81	NA
2RD	Marc Staal	0.02	0.11	0.13	0.54	1.48	NA
2LW	Matthew Tkachuk	0.38	0.63	1.01	3.24	0.38	NA
2RW	Nick Cousins	0.07	0.17	0.24	1.06	0.46	NA
3LD	Radko Gudas	0.03	0.15	0.17	1.21	1.68	NA
4LW	Ryan Lomberg	0.09	0.07	0.16	1.28	0.28	NA
2C	Sam Bennett	0.22	0.28	0.49	2.48	0.55	NA
3LW	Sam Reinhart	0.29	0.32	0.60	2.20	0.58	NA
Goalie	Sergei Bobrovsky	NA	NA	NA	NA	NA	30.1