For the past few NFL seasons, each Sunday night I've written an early bets piece highlighting some applicable trends I've noticed for the upcoming week.
I'm not a trends bettor, but I find that historical situational data helps me identify spots I should consider further when analyzing games.
So here are some trends for Week 4 as well as a few early bets I like based on the current lines in the market and my early personal projections, which I will update throughout the week along with our premium BettingPros spread projections.
Prop Bet Analyzer: View top rated props and historical prop performance by player >>
For the past few NFL seasons, each Sunday night I've written an early bets piece highlighting some applicable trends I've noticed for the upcoming week.
I'm not a trends bettor, but I find that historical situational data helps me identify spots I should consider further when analyzing games.
So here are some trends for Week 4 as well as a few early bets I like based on the current lines in the market and my early personal projections, which I will update throughout the week along with our premium BettingPros spread projections.
Prop Bet Analyzer: View top rated props and historical prop performance by player >>
Note: These aren't all the trends I'm seeing and all the early bets I like. These are just a few of them. For more of my early Week 4 bets, check out the BettingPros App.
All lines and odds are from the BettingPros NFL odds page and as of Sept. 25. All the historical trends information is from Action Network and goes back to 2003. Abbreviations: Against the spread (ATS), return on investment (ROI), moneyline (ML).
All odds are from the following sportsbooks.
Click on the sportsbook links above to check out their promotional offers. If you're not taking advantage of these deals, you're basically admitting to yourself that you hate money.
Chicago Bears at New York Giants
Check out our Bears at Giants matchup page.
- Kickoff: Sunday, Oct. 2, 2022, 1 pm ET
- Location: MetLife Stadium
- TV: FOX
Bears at Giants: Consensus Lines
- Spread: Giants -3
- Over/Under: 39.5
- Moneyline: Giants -155, Bears +130
New York Giants Trends
Before the Giants as home favorites play Cowboys on MNF in Week 3.
- QB Daniel Jones: 8-12 ATS (18.3% ROI for faders) at home
- QB Daniel Jones: 2-5 ATS (36.3% ROI) as favorite
- QB Daniel Jones: 1-3 ATS (43.5% ROI) as home favorite
Bears at Giants: Early Bet
- Bet: Bears +3
- Early Projection: Bears +1.5
- Odds: -118
- Sportsbook: FanDuel
- Date & Time: Sunday, Sept. 25, 9 p.m. ET
- Units: 1.18
- Limit: Bears +3
Note: I first posted this pick in the BettingPros app via the lookahead line of +3 (-110, FanDuel).
New England Patriots at Green Bay Packers
Check out our Patriots at Packers matchup page.
- Kickoff: Sunday, Oct. 2, 2022, 4:25 pm ET
- Location: Lambeau Field
- TV: CBS
Patriots at Packers: Consensus Lines
- Spread: Packers -8.5
- Over/Under: 42
- Moneyline: Packers -365, Patriots +295
Green Bay Packers Trends
- QB Aaron Rodgers: 66-34-3 ATS (27.8% ROI) at home
- QB Aaron Rodgers: 97-64-3 ATS (17.6% ROI) as favorite
Patriots at Packers: Early Bet
- Bet: Packers -8.5
- Early Projection: Packers -10
- Odds: -110
- Sportsbook: DraftKings
- Date & Time: Sunday, Sept. 25, 9 p.m. ET
- Units: 1.1
- Limit: Packers -9
Note: I first posted this pick in the BettingPros app via the lookahead line of -6 (-110, Caesars).
Los Angeles Rams at San Francisco 49ers
Check out our Rams at 49ers matchup page.
- Kickoff: Monday, Oct. 3, 2022, 8:15 pm ET
- Location: Levi’s Stadium
- TV: ESPN
Rams at 49ers: Consensus Lines
- Spread: 49ers -1.5
- Over/Under: 47
- Moneyline: 49ers -125, Rams +105
San Francisco 49ers Trends
Before the 49ers as favorites play Broncos on SNF in Week 3.
- HC Kyle Shanahan: 17-25-1 ATS (14.4% ROI for faders) as favorite
- HC Kyle Shanahan: 15-22-1 ATS (14.9% ROI for faders) at home
- HC Kyle Shanahan: 7-15-1 ATS (29.7% ROI for faders) as home favorite
Rams at 49ers: Early Bet
- Bet: Rams +2
- Early Projection: Pick’Em
- Odds: -110
- Sportsbook: DraftKings
- Date & Time: Sunday, Sept. 25, 9 p.m. ET
- Units: 1.1
- Limit: Rams +1.5
Note: I first posted this pick in the BettingPros app via the lookahead line of +2.5 (-110, Caesars).
Week 3 Record
- Picks in BettingPros tracker: 5-6 (-1.53 units)*
- Picks in $1M DraftKings picks pool: 4-1
Year-to-Date Record
- Picks in BettingPros tracker: 17-12-1 (+3.86 units)*
- Picks in $1M DraftKings picks pool: 11-4
* Waiting on 49ers +2.5 (SNF) and Cowboys +4 (MNF)
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