March Madness is here, which means it’s time for me to dust off the ol’ player projection model, forecast the playing time for hundreds of players I’ve never heard of and place a psychologically unhealthy number of prop bets for the next three weeks.
I’ll be honest: I don’t follow college basketball. I like the sport in theory, but in actuality I don’t take the time to watch it. That has been the case for years.
Even so, in 2019 I pulled together a “model” (set of spreadsheets) to project player production for the NCAA men’s basketball tournament, and since then I’ve used this model (and updated versions of it) to bet profitably in the player prop market. Be sure to join our free Bracket Contest. Prizes up for grabs include a lifetime BettingPros/FantasyPros subscription and a signed Giannis Antetokounmpo jersey!
- 2019: 125-69-12, +39.8 units
- 2021: 106-64-1, +33.8 units
- 2022: 243-210, +14.9 units
Use our FREE bracket optimizer to build a winning men’s NCAA tournament bracket & take down your contest >>
March Madness is here, which means it’s time for me to dust off the ol’ player projection model, forecast the playing time for hundreds of players I’ve never heard of and place a psychologically unhealthy number of prop bets for the next three weeks.
I’ll be honest: I don’t follow college basketball. I like the sport in theory, but in actuality I don’t take the time to watch it. That has been the case for years.
Even so, in 2019 I pulled together a “model” (set of spreadsheets) to project player production for the NCAA men’s basketball tournament, and since then I’ve used this model (and updated versions of it) to bet profitably in the player prop market. Be sure to join our free Bracket Contest. Prizes up for grabs include a lifetime BettingPros/FantasyPros subscription and a signed Giannis Antetokounmpo jersey!
- 2019: 125-69-12, +39.8 units
- 2021: 106-64-1, +33.8 units
- 2022: 243-210, +14.9 units
Use our FREE bracket optimizer to build a winning men’s NCAA tournament bracket & take down your contest >>
2023 NCAA Tournament Player Prop Bet Projections: Oral Roberts vs. Duke
Oral Roberts Player Prop Bet Projections
| Player |
PTs |
REBs |
ASTs |
PTs + REBs |
PTs + ASTs |
PRAs |
3Ps |
FTs |
| Max Abmas |
19.1 |
4.5 |
3.2 |
23.6 |
22.4 |
26.9 |
2.9 |
3.6 |
| Connor Vanover |
11.4 |
7.5 |
0.7 |
19.0 |
12.1 |
19.6 |
1.2 |
1.3 |
| Issac McBride |
11.1 |
3.0 |
2.3 |
14.1 |
13.4 |
16.4 |
1.6 |
1.1 |
| Carlos Jurgens |
8.0 |
4.2 |
1.9 |
12.2 |
9.9 |
14.1 |
0.9 |
0.7 |
| Kareem Thompson |
7.3 |
5.7 |
2.4 |
12.9 |
9.7 |
15.4 |
0.7 |
0.8 |
| Patrick Mwamba |
6.4 |
5.2 |
0.5 |
11.6 |
6.9 |
12.0 |
0.6 |
0.8 |
| DeShang Weaver |
3.9 |
1.5 |
0.1 |
5.4 |
4.0 |
5.5 |
0.5 |
0.2 |
| Trey Phipps |
2.8 |
1.2 |
0.7 |
4.1 |
3.5 |
4.7 |
0.4 |
0.6 |
| Demari Williams |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
| Nate Clover |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
| Cam Amboree |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
| Jake Shannon |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
| Sir Issac Herron |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
Duke Player Prop Bet Projections
| Player |
PTs |
REBs |
ASTs |
PTs + REBs |
PTs + ASTs |
PRAs |
3Ps |
FTs |
| Kyle Filipowski |
17.7 |
11.7 |
1.7 |
29.4 |
19.4 |
31.1 |
1.4 |
3.1 |
| Jeremy Roach |
15.3 |
3.3 |
3.5 |
18.6 |
18.8 |
22.1 |
1.9 |
1.8 |
| Tyrese Proctor |
11.1 |
4.3 |
3.8 |
15.4 |
14.9 |
19.2 |
1.9 |
1.5 |
| Mark Mitchell |
10.6 |
5.9 |
1.4 |
16.5 |
12.0 |
17.8 |
0.8 |
1.7 |
| Ryan Young |
3.3 |
3.3 |
0.7 |
6.6 |
4.0 |
7.3 |
0.0 |
0.5 |
| Dariq Whitehead |
7.4 |
2.5 |
0.9 |
9.9 |
8.3 |
10.8 |
1.6 |
0.6 |
| Dereck Lively II |
7.8 |
8.3 |
1.5 |
16.2 |
9.4 |
17.7 |
0.1 |
0.7 |
| Jacob Grandison |
2.5 |
1.3 |
0.7 |
3.9 |
3.3 |
4.6 |
0.6 |
0.2 |
| Jaylen Blakes |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
| Jaden Schutt |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
| Christian Reeves |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
| Kale Catchings |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
| Stanley Borden |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
| Spencer Hubbard |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
| Max Johns |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
Oral Roberts vs. Duke Player Prop Bet Picks
All betting odds are from:
Oral Roberts
| Prop |
Odds |
Units |
To Win |
Book |
| Carlos Jurgens Over 1.5 Assists |
135 |
1 |
1.35 |
DK |
| Max Abmas Under 22.5 Points |
-110 |
1.1 |
1 |
UB |
| Max Abmas Over 3.5 Rebounds |
135 |
1 |
1.35 |
DK |
| Connor Vanover Over 6.5 Rebounds |
-110 |
1.1 |
1 |
UB |
Duke
| Prop |
Odds |
Units |
To Win |
Book |
| Dereck Lively II Over 5.5 Rebounds |
108 |
1 |
1.08 |
FD |
| Jeremy Roach Over 2.5 Assists |
-135 |
1.35 |
1 |
MGM |
| Jeremy Roach Over 18.5 PRAs |
-112 |
1.12 |
1 |
UB |
| Mark Mitchell Over 9.5 Points |
-105 |
1.05 |
1 |
DK |
| Mark Mitchell Over 4.5 Rebounds |
-105 |
1.05 |
1 |
UB |
| Kyle Filipowski Over 9.5 Rebounds |
108 |
1 |
1.08 |
FD |
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