After a pair of thrilling Conference Championship games, the opponents for Super Bowl LX are set. The Seattle Seahawks will take on the New England Patriots at Levi's Stadium in Santa Clara, CA, on Sunday, February 8th. Sportsbooks wasted no time posting the opening line for the game, and it will probably not come as much of a surprise who the favorite to win Super Bowl LX opened as.
How the odds shift will vary from sportsbook to sportsbook, depending on how people bet, so be sure to line shop before putting money down to get the best odds.
Super Bowl LX Odds, Trends & Early Picks
(Odds courtesy of FanDuel Sportsbook)
Super Bowl LX Opening Odds
- Point Spread: Seahawks -4.5 (-110)/Patriots +4.5 (-110)
- Moneyline: Seahawks -230/Patriots +190
- Total: Over/Under 46.5 (-105/-115)
According to the opening line, Seattle has a 69.7% chance of winning Super Bowl LX; the Patriots have a 34.48% shot.
This is just the opening line. The early odds are subject to change in the days leading up to the game, and often do. If you don't like what you see right now, you may like the odds better in a few days or closer to kick-off. But the odds could just as easily go the other way.
Within minutes of posting their opening line, DraftKings Sportsbook shifted from favoring the Seahawks by 4.5 points to 3.5; the Moneyline shifted to -205 (they have since shifted back to -4.5 and -230). If this is not what you were hoping for, don't worry.
As bets come pouring in, sportsbooks will adjust the line as they deem necessary. There is a good chance the line will change again.
Super Bowl Trends
Over the years, a few historical Super Bowl trends have developed:
- The NFC leads the all-time series, 30-29.
- Favorites are 37-33 straight up (SU) and 25-31-3 against the spread (ATS).
- The AFC is 27-30-2 ATS and the NFC 30-27-2.
- Over the last 24 Super Bowls, the underdog is 18-6 ATS.
- Over the last 18 Super Bowls, the underdog is 14-4 ATS.
- Over the last 10 Super Bowls, the underdog is 7-3 ATS.
- Over the last 5 Super Bowls, the underdog is 5-0 ATS.
- The winner (whether it was the favorite or the underdog) is 49-7-3 ATS.
- The over is 29-28-1 (there wasn't a total for Super Bowl I).
- The over is just 4-5-1 in the last 10 Super Bowls.
- The last time the winner did not cover was Super Bowl LVI; the Rams won by three, but the spread was 4.5.
Super Bowl LX Early Pick
Based on what we've seen from both teams in the postseason, I have to go with the Seahawks to cover. They dominated on both sides of the ball against the 49ers and kept the mighty Rams offense in check just enough to pull out a four-point win in the NFC Conference Championship.
As for the Patriots, Drake Maye turned the ball over way too much in the first two games of the playoffs (two interceptions, six fumbles, three lost fumbles). With how the Patriots’ offense performed against the Broncos’ defense, it is fair to wonder if a Bo Nix-led Denver team would have won the AFC Conference Championship.
Super Bowl LX Early Pick: Seattle -4.5 (-110)
