Yesterday, we started our day with a winner from Bowling Green, but the profit started to fade away as the night went on. We try to minimize the damage on bad days, and going 1-2 is doing just that.
Let’s get back to winning. It’s time to give out my top three plays for Wednesday, November 24.
All odds via BettingPros consensus
Wright State vs. Long Beach State: Long Beach State +10.5 (-110)
(12:00 PM ET tip)
Long Beach State is currently 1-4 on the season and is coming off two disaster performances after losing to Missouri State and Murray State in massive blowouts. However, now they’ll take on a Wright State team that hasn’t won a single game against a D-1 opponent. Yet, Long Beach State is still a 10.5 point underdog.
The Beach has an effective field goal percentage of 51.9 percent and has hit 36.6 percent from long range. While they won’t take many threes, they’re also really good inside, scoring over 50 percent from inside the arc.
On the other hand, Wright State allows an effective field goal percentage of 54.6 percent and has allowed teams to shoot 57.9 percent inside the perimeter this season. On top of that, the Raiders are giving up 35.9 percent offensive rebounds on the year, which is an extremely high number.
While Long Beach State isn’t that much better defensively, allowing 45.3 percent from downtown, they’re taking on a Wright State offense that has looked miserable. The Raiders are shooting a 44.5 percent effective field goal percentage while knocking down just 22.5 percent threes. Rebounding on the offensive glass has still been an issue, and the Raiders also don’t get to the line very often.
With Long Beach State having more depth on the bench, I love Long Beach State at +10.5 in this game and believe there’s a chance the Beach can win outright.
St. Francis PA vs. Cornell: Cornell -4.5 (-110)
(4:00 PM ET tip)
Cornell has already knocked off Lafayette and Colgate on the season. For the Big Red, the only loss they’ve taken was against a Big Ten opponent in Penn State, and that was only an 11-point defeat.
Cornell is going up against a St. Francis PA team shooting an effective field goal percentage of 38.3 while shooting just 21.9 percent from long range and 40.2 percent from inside the arc.
Meanwhile, Cornell is shooting 54.1 percent inside and should be able to get to the line more frequently while also limiting the turnovers on the offensive end. I have Cornell winning by double digits in this one.
UC San Diego vs Montana: UC San Diego +5 (-110)
(9:30 PM ET tip)
UC San Diego is 4-0 on the season and still +5 against a 2-2 Montana team. This UC San Diego team has already defeated California and George Washington. Montana is nothing compared to those two teams. And not only did UC San Diego win those two games, but the Tritons won those two games by double digits.
Montana is currently allowing teams to shoot 50.9 percent from the three-point range. Yes, you read that correctly. The Tritons have also been one of the best teams at getting to the line and are shooting an effective field goal percentage of 55.8 percent while knocking down nearly 40 percent of three-point attempts.
Meanwhile, UC San Diego also holds opponents to 20.4 percent from long range and dominates the defensive glass. Again, I have UC San Diego winning outright against Montana. This game seems way more lopsided than oddsmakers are letting on. We’ll see what happens.
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