The UFL’s unbalanced schedule this week leaves only one game on Sunday. Thankfully, there are two eye-catching player props from this game, and PrizePicks users can add props from other sports to their cards while using our tools, such as the MLB PrizePicks Cheat Sheet.
View 5-star bets and historical prop performance by players with our Prop Bet Analyzer >>
Best UFL Week 4 PrizePicks Player Projections
Here are Sunday’s best UFL Week 4 PrizePicks plays.
The UFL’s unbalanced schedule this week leaves only one game on Sunday. Thankfully, there are two eye-catching player props from this game, and PrizePicks users can add props from other sports to their cards while using our tools, such as the MLB PrizePicks Cheat Sheet.
View 5-star bets and historical prop performance by players with our Prop Bet Analyzer >>
Best UFL Week 4 PrizePicks Player Projections
Here are Sunday’s best UFL Week 4 PrizePicks plays.
Luis Perez OVER 219.5 Passing Yards
Luis Perez is the king of the spring, and the higher-quality rosters from the merger between the XFL and USFL haven’t overwhelmed him. Among eight quarterbacks with at least 50 dropbacks this season, Perez is Pro Football Focus’s (PFF’s) second-ranked passer. He’s also leading the league in passing yards (736).
Perez has passed for 213, 233 and 290 yards in three games this season. Arlington hasn’t had much success on the ground, and their defense has struggled, putting a ton on Perez’s plate. It’s a recipe for passing yards.
The matchup is also stellar. The Roughnecks have PFF’s second-worst coverage grade and third-worst pressure grade. However, the Roughnecks are PFF’s top run defense. As a result, even in a positive game script, the Renegades should continue to air it out.
Mark Thompson UNDER 53.6 Rushing Yards
Mark Thompson was a handful for USFL defenses the previous two years. In 2022, he averaged 51.6 rushing yards per game. Thompson bumped that to 81.6 rushing yards per game in 2023. He’s had over 53.6 rushing yards in 11 of 17 games the previous two years.
However, other successful running backs haven’t found the sledding easy in the merged league. There have been only seven instances of running backs rushing for over 53.6 yards in 12 games this year, and no one is averaging over 53.6 rushing yards per game this season.
Moreover, this is Thompson’s first game of the year. He might be eased into action, and Thompson’s placement behind T.J. Pledger on Houston’s depth chart would seem to support that notion. Finally, the Roughnecks are winless and 2.5-point underdogs. If Houston’s in a negative game script, that would depress Thompson’s rushing potential.
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Josh Shepardson is a featured writer at BettingPros. For more from Josh, check out his archive and follow him @BChad50.
