The New York Liberty and Las Vegas Aces each have the opportunity to advance to the second round of the WNBA postseason with wins tonight. How will Rhyne Howard perform for the Atlanta Dream as they try to stave off elimination? Will Skylar Diggins-Smith continue successfully finding her teammates against the Aces? And can A'ja Wilson pull down more than 11 rebounds for just the second time this season against the Seattle Storm?
Here are the best WNBA player prop bets for Tuesday, September 24.
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Tuesday’s Best WNBA Player Prop Picks
(Odds courtesy of FanDuel Sportsbook)
Rhyne Howard Under 16.5 Points (-115)
The Liberty have had Rhyne Howard's number this season. The Dream's leading scorer averaged 17.3 points per game during the regular season. However, in two games against the Liberty, she scored just 11 and 13. In Game 1 of the playoff series against the Liberty, she scored only 14.
Because Howard has struggled, Tuesday night's number is set one point below her season average. However, this isn't low enough. The Dream get their points in a variety of ways, which has led to lackluster scoring from Howard of late. She hasn't scored more than 16 points in any of her last six games. She could explode for a huge game like she did three times in a row in early September, but we believe she’s outmatched in this series.
Skylar Diggins-Smith Over 6.5 Assists (+124)
For this price, you have to take a chance on Skylar Diggins-Smith. She's been playing well against the Aces of late. There's no reason to expect that to change on Tuesday. She dished out eight assists on Sunday. She recorded nine last Tuesday. In five games against the Aces, her lowest assist total is six.
If Diggins-Smith’s floor is six assists then why is the price for the over this good? There isn't a legitimately good reason to suggest the under hitting. Maybe this is a trap from oddsmakers, but it feels more like they're just setting this at her season average and understanding she's playing a good defensive team. This is a good matchup for her, though, and she's proven enough this season.
A'ja Wilson Under 11.5 Rebounds (-115)
For as incredible as A’ja Wilson was during the regular season, she didn't have much success against the Storm when it came to rebounding. Yes, she had a 20-rebound game against them, but she didn't pull down more than 11 rebounds in any of her other three games against them. In the first game of the postseason, Wilson struggled again.
Wilson is capable of going off at any point. However, after an eight-rebound performance on Sunday, it's time to admit this is just a bad matchup for her. It's not like she's seeing reduced minutes. She played 36 minutes on Sunday and 35 in her final regular season game. No matter how much Wilson plays tonight, we expect her to go under 12 rebounds for the fifth time in six tries against the Storm.
Phil Wood is a featured writer at BettingPros. For more from Phil, check out his archive and follow him @Phil_Wood_Jr.