XFL Week 2 PrizePicks Player Prop Bets & Picks (2023)

Armed with some data from week 1 of the XFL, it’s a golden opportunity to make some picks on players’ lines at PrizePicks. Fortunately, Pro Football Focus (PFF) is making its advanced stats available to subscribers. So, the following selections are influenced by more than just the box-score data. Users at PrizePicks are encouraged to mix and match the following picks.

View 5-star bets and historical prop performance by players with our Prop Bet Analyzer >>

XFL Week 2 Player Lines at PrizePicks

Brandon Silvers OVER 215.5 Passing Yards

Brandon Silvers’ production in spring leagues has been a mixed bag. According to PFF, Silvers passed for 242, 266 and 269 yards in three of four games in the AAF, and he only attempted four passes in the only game he fell short of this week’s line of 215.5 passing yards. He went over that total just one time in four games in the XFL in 2020. However, he passed for 269 yards last week.

View 5-star bets and historical prop performance by players with our Prop Bet Analyzer >>

XFL Week 2 Player Lines at PrizePicks

Brandon Silvers OVER 215.5 Passing Yards

He was the only quarterback to attempt a pass for the Roughnecks last week. Houston ran a pass-heavy offense last week, attempting 42 passes and only 20 rushes. Houston’s offensive coordinator, AJ Smith, is a holdover in the same position he held for the club in 2020. The offense he guided was pass-happy and effective that year. P.J. Walker was the team’s starting quarterback. Walker had 272, 170, 306, 239 and 351 passing yards in Smith’s offense. So, Silvers’ 2023 debut, coupled with Walker’s success in Smith’s offense in 2020, are grounds to hop on over 215.5 passing yards.

Deontay Burnett OVER 50.5 Receiving Yards

If Silvers lights up the skies on Sunday night, some of his pass-catchers should thrive. Deontay Burnett was the top dog in the team’s passing attack last week. In fact, Burnett’s 87 receiving yards were the second-most in the league.

Thankfully, Burnett’s underlying data was excellent, too. He was tied for the third-most routes (47) and tied for the second-most targets (11) in the XFL last week. Burnett also had a reasonable average depth of target (9.5-yard aDOT). So he was targeted deep enough to do significant damage. Yet, the targets weren’t low-percentage prayers.

Finally, the Renegades allowed two of the Vipers’ wideouts to best 50.5 receiving yards last week in a less dynamic, pass-friendly offense. Specifically, Jeff Badet and Cinque Sweeting had 81 and 64 receiving yards, respectively. So, gamers should take the correlated overs for Silvers’ passing yards and Burnett’s receiving yards.

Max Borghi UNDER 40.5 Rushing Yards

Houston’s passing tendencies don’t leave much meat on the bone for their running game. Max Borghi made the most of only eight rushes last week, scampering for 42 yards, which included ripping off a 27-yard carry. However, Dejoun Lee mixed in for six attempts for 25 yards.

A shared backfield in a pass-heavy offense will make it tricky for Borghi to pile up rushing yards. Maybe, the lopsided nature of Houston’s victory last week impacted the distribution of rushes. However, even in a blowout win, the Roughnecks had only 14 carries by running backs. So, if their contest is more competitive this week, Houston might lean more heavily into their passing game. Either way, Borghi’s under for 40.5 rushing yards is compelling.

Sal Cannella OVER 50.5 Receiving Yards

The Renegades surprisingly had 31 rushes by non-quarterbacks versus 25 passes in Week 1. Head coach Bob Stoops ran a pass-heavy offense in the 2020 XFL. The team has changed offensive coordinator. So, the change might stick.

However, Houston’s high-powered, pass-heavy offense might push Arlington to pick up the pace and lean into the pass more often this week. Moreover, Sal Cannella was a monster in their offense last week. According to Justin Freeman from Run The Sims, Cannella was atop the heap in Week 1 for Target Market Share.

Your @XFL2023 opportunity leaders (TMS = Target Market Share; RMS = Rush_Attempt Market Share). What stands out after one week?
1⃣ @XFLSeaDragons passing volume is insane
2⃣ 5 players had 10+ rush attempts; 2 from @XFLBrahmas
3⃣ Dominant game script slowed down @XFLRoughnecks pic.twitter.com/BncoaOV5NG

- Justin Freeman (@JustinFreeman18) February 20, 2023

The pass-catching tight end parlayed his usage into seven receptions for 70 receiving yards. According to PFF, Cannella ran 28 routes and played 31 passing snaps, aligning inline 20 times and in the slot 10 times. The Roughnecks struggled with a big-bodied pass-catcher in Week 1, yielding five receptions for 68 receiving yards on just six targets and 14 routes to Cody Latimer. Finally, Donald Parham thrived for the Renegades in 2020, amassing 40, 76, 101, 56 and 34 receiving yards at tight end for them during the 2020 season. There’s a lot to like about Cannella’s outlook this week. Thus, the over is a sweet pick.

Jeff Badet UNDER 40.5 Receiving Yards

Jeff Badet has elite speed. Sadly, he’s rarely converted his jets into meaningful production. Badet exploded for 81 receiving yards last week. Still, Badet’s showing in Week 1 appears to be an outlier. In five games in the XFL in 2020, Badet had 6, 53, 13, 22 and 14 receiving yards. He also had just 12 receiving yards in his only game in the USFL last season.

Digging deeper and checking Badet’s game log in college doesn’t support his blow-up showing last week. According to PFF, he had more than 40.5 receiving yards in 18 of 40 games in his collegiate career at Kentucky and Oklahoma. Badet’s speed is undeniable. Nevertheless, his track record suggests taking the under for 40.5 receiving yards is the way to go.

Whether you’re new to sports betting or a betting pro, our How To Bet and Sports Betting Strategy and Advice pages are for you. You can get started with our Sports Betting 101 Section - including 10 Sports Betting Tips for Beginners - or head to more advanced sports betting strategy - like Key Numbers When Betting Against the Spread - to learn more.

Josh Shepardson is a featured writer at BettingPros. For more from Josh, check out his archive and follow him @BChad50.