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2023 March Madness: Round 2 Best Bets & Picks (Sunday)

by March 19, 2023
UConn vs. Arkansas: Sweet 16 Best Bets (2023 NCAA Tournament)

Thursday to Sunday in March Madness is always the best four days of the year. Unfortunately, those four days are coming to a close.

But we’ve still got some games to enjoy and profit from in Round 2. And there’s always the Sweet 16, Elite Eight, Final Four, and National Championship to look forward to!

I’ve got a couple of best bets for Day 2, Round 2 of March Madness. Let’s get right to it!

Also, take a look at our other best bets for Sunday:

View 5-star bets and historical prop performance by players with our Prop Bet Analyzer >>

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Day 2, Round 2 Best College Basketball Bets

(Odds courtesy of Caesars Sportsbook and all wagers are 1 unit)

Michigan State vs. Marquette

The Michigan State Spartans actually have an intriguing matchup as a seven-seed. They’ll take on the Marquette Golden Eagles who haven’t been great defensively this year.

Granted, Marquette has been better on the defensive end lately. But overall, opponents are shooting 35.1% from downtown against Marquette this season.

Michigan State is selective from downtown but shot 39.4% from three this season. Inside the arc, the Spartans have struggled, only shooting 47.9% from the field. However, the three-point ball should help keep the Spartans in this game against Marquette.

The Golden Eagles have allowed 31.7% of offensive rebounds while Michigan State has allowed just 25.2% of offensive rebounds on its defensive end. The Spartans will get more second chances and as long as Michigan State keeps turnovers down, the Spartans have a legitimate chance at pulling off this upset.

Michigan State has held teams to 31.6% from three and 48.5% from inside the arc throughout the season. These are better defensive metrics than Marquette.

Bet: Michigan State +2.5 (-110


Saint Mary’s vs. UConn

The UConn Huskies have been given no breaks in this NCAA Tournament.

First, UConn had to face Rick Pitino’s Iona. Now the Huskies will have to face the St. Mary’s Gaels.

But if you doubted UConn against Iona, you’re looking silly. UConn earned an 87-63 over Iona. Most teams would’ve lost to Iona. Not UConn. The Huskies are dominant. UConn has shot nearly 36% from three and 53.4% from inside the arc. They’ve also nailed 75.7% from the foul line.

That’s significant in a close game with Saint Mary’s only shooting 69.3% from the foul line. The Gaels are probably going to get to the foul line more but might not hit more foul shots than UConn. The Huskies are extremely dominant on the offensive glass, grabbing 39.2% of offensive rebounds. On the other hand, the Gaels have limited teams to 22% of offensive rebounds per game.

If UConn stays aggressive on the glass and earns second chances, the Gaels will have no answers. On defense, UConn has held opponents to 30.4% from three and 45.5% from inside the arc. The Gaels have had success offensively throughout the season, but inside, they only shoot 51%.

I like UConn’s chances of earning a cover against the Gaels.

Bet: UConn -3.5 (-110)

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College Basketball, March Madness