2026 Kentucky Derby: Commandment Odds, Picks & Predictions

The Kentucky Derby is one of the most prestigious and highly anticipated events in the world of horse racing. Held annually on the first Saturday in May, the Kentucky Derby attracts horse racing enthusiasts from all over the world. The Derby is a 1 1/4 mile race for three-year-old thoroughbreds and is often referred to as “the most exciting two minutes in sports.” Let's take a look at the odds for one of the horses competing in the 152nd Run for the Roses: Commandment.

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2026 Kentucky Derby Profile & Predictions: Commandment

    Name: Commandment
    Post Position: 6
    Trainer: Brad Cox
    Jockey: Luis Saez
    Owners: Wathnan Racing
    Breeder: Lee Pokoik
    Sire: Into Mischief
    Dam: Sippican Harbor (by Orb)
    Color: Bay

    Career Record: 5: 4-0-0
    Earnings: $1,017,339
    Top Beyer Speed Figure: 101
    Top Equibase Speed Figure: 99
    Derby Qualifying Points: 150


    Recent Form

    1st - Grade 1 Florida Derby
    1st - Grade 2 Fountain of Youth
    1st - Limited Stakes Mucho Macho Man
    1st - Maiden Special Weight (Keeneland)


    Racing Style

    Tactical speed; typically sits just off the early pace before making a move on the far turn. Shows enough versatility to press or stalk depending on pace setup.

    Betting Outlook

    ​Commandment trots into the shadows of the twin spires with a ton of confidence. In four races since Nov. 1, 2025, Commandment has been to the winner’s circle four straight times, collecting 150 points to top the charts. The most notable wins are in the Fountain of Youth Stakes (G2) at Gulfstream, and again at the same track in the Curlin Florida Derby (G1) to punch a ticket to Louisville. In that Florida Derby win, Commandment racked up an Equibase score of 97. Trainer Brad H. Cox won the Kentucky Derby in 2021 with Mandaloun, with Florent Geroux on board. In 2026, Luis Saez is on board, and he is looking for his first-ever Derby victory. Thou shalt bet Commandment, who has already topped The Puma and Chief Wallabee in Florida.
    -Daniel Dobish

    Bet: Win

    2026 Kentucky Derby Field

    Post Horse Trainer Name Jockey Name Odds
    1 Renegade Todd Pletcher Irad Ortiz Jr. +400
    2 Albus Riley Mott Manuel Franco +4000
    3 Intrepido Jeff Mullins Hector Barrios +5000
    4 Litmus Test Bob Baffert Martin Garcia +5000
    5 Right to Party Kenneth McPeek Chris Elliott +5000
    6 Commandment Brad Cox Luis Saez +500
    7 Danon Bourbon Manabu Ikezoe Atsuya Nishimura +1500
    8 So Happy Mark Glatt Mike Smith +1200
    9 The Puma Gustavo Delgado Javier Castellano +800
    10 Wonder Dean Daisuke Takayanagi Ryusei Sakai +4000
    11 Incredibolt Riley Mott Jaime Torres +2500
    12 Chief Wallabee William I. Mott Junior Alvarado +800
    13 Silent Tactic John C. Oxley Cristian Torres +3000
    14 Potente Bob Baffert Juan Hernandez +2000
    15 Emerging Market Chad C. Brown Flavien Prat +1500
    16 Pavlovian Doug O’Neill Edwin Maldonado +3500
    17 Six Speed Bhupat Seemar TBD +5000
    18 Further Ado Brad Cox John Velazquez +500
    19 Golden Tempo Cherie DeVaux Jose Ortiz +3000
    20 Fulleffort Brad Cox Tyler Gaffalione +2500

    Best Bets, Picks & Predictions

    2026 Kentucky Derby Horse Previews, Picks & Predictions

    Check out our previews for every horse competing in the 2026 Kentucky Derby and our expert analysis on the best bets for this year's Run for the Roses.

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