2026 Kentucky Derby: Commandment Odds, Picks & Predictions

by BettingPros Staff |
Apr 29, 2026

The Kentucky Derby is one of the most prestigious and highly anticipated events in the world of horse racing. Held annually on the first Saturday in May, the Kentucky Derby attracts horse racing enthusiasts from all over the world. The Derby is a 1 1/4 mile race for three-year-old thoroughbreds and is often referred to as “the most exciting two minutes in sports.” Let's take a look at the odds for one of the horses competing in the 152nd Run for the Roses: Commandment.

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2026 Kentucky Derby Profile & Predictions: Commandment

Name: Commandment
Post Position: 6
Trainer: Brad Cox
Jockey: Luis Saez
Owners: Wathnan Racing
Breeder: Lee Pokoik
Sire: Into Mischief
Dam: Sippican Harbor (by Orb)
Color: Bay

Career Record: 5: 4-0-0
Earnings: $1,017,339
Top Beyer Speed Figure: 101
Top Equibase Speed Figure: 99
Derby Qualifying Points: 150

Recent Form

1st - Grade 1 Florida Derby
1st - Grade 2 Fountain of Youth
1st - Limited Stakes Mucho Macho Man
1st - Maiden Special Weight (Keeneland)

Racing Style

Tactical speed; typically sits just off the early pace before making a move on the far turn. Shows enough versatility to press or stalk depending on pace setup.

Betting Outlook

Commandment trots into the shadows of the twin spires with a ton of confidence. In four races since Nov. 1, 2025, Commandment has been to the winner’s circle four straight times, collecting 150 points to top the charts. The most notable wins are in the Fountain of Youth Stakes (G2) at Gulfstream, and again at the same track in the Curlin Florida Derby (G1) to punch a ticket to Louisville. In that Florida Derby win, Commandment racked up an Equibase score of 97. Trainer Brad H. Cox won the Kentucky Derby in 2021 with Mandaloun, with Florent Geroux on board. In 2026, Luis Saez is on board, and he is looking for his first-ever Derby victory. Thou shalt bet Commandment, who has already topped The Puma and Chief Wallabee in Florida.
-Daniel Dobish

Bet: Win

2026 Kentucky Derby Field

Post	Horse	Trainer Name	Jockey Name	Odds
1	Renegade	Todd Pletcher	Irad Ortiz Jr.	+400
2	Albus	Riley Mott	Manuel Franco	+4000
3	Intrepido	Jeff Mullins	Hector Barrios	+5000
4	Litmus Test	Bob Baffert	Martin Garcia	+5000
5	Right to Party	Kenneth McPeek	Chris Elliott	+5000
6	Commandment	Brad Cox	Luis Saez	+500
7	Danon Bourbon	Manabu Ikezoe	Atsuya Nishimura	+1500
8	So Happy	Mark Glatt	Mike Smith	+1200
9	The Puma	Gustavo Delgado	Javier Castellano	+800
10	Wonder Dean	Daisuke Takayanagi	Ryusei Sakai	+4000
11	Incredibolt	Riley Mott	Jaime Torres	+2500
12	Chief Wallabee	William I. Mott	Junior Alvarado	+800
13	Silent Tactic	John C. Oxley	Cristian Torres	+3000
14	Potente	Bob Baffert	Juan Hernandez	+2000
15	Emerging Market	Chad C. Brown	Flavien Prat	+1500
16	Pavlovian	Doug O’Neill	Edwin Maldonado	+3500
17	Six Speed	Bhupat Seemar	TBD	+5000
18	Further Ado	Brad Cox	John Velazquez	+500
19	Golden Tempo	Cherie DeVaux	Jose Ortiz	+3000
20	Fulleffort	Brad Cox	Tyler Gaffalione	+2500

Best Bets, Picks & Predictions

2026 Kentucky Derby Horse Previews, Picks & Predictions

Check out our previews for every horse competing in the 2026 Kentucky Derby and our expert analysis on the best bets for this year's Run for the Roses.