3 NFL Week 4 Bets to Fade (2025)

Everyone loves betting on the NFL. However, knowing which bets to make is critical. It's also important to know which bets you should avoid making.

Today, I have three bets you should avoid making in Week 4. I also have three bets in the same games you should make instead. Let's dive into it!

NFL Week 4 Bets to Fade

Avoid Betting Nico Collins Under 70.5 Receiving Yards (-110)

Collins has been the lone bright spot for Houston's struggling offense. Last week, the former Michigan star had 104 receiving yards on 11 targets.
The superstar has had his way against the Titans with C.J. Stroud under center, averaging 7.3 targets and 79.7 yards per game in three matchups, totaling 80 or more twice.
Tennessee has surrendered 75 yards per game to opposing No. 1 wide receivers. They've given up 61 or more yards to five wide receivers this season.

Instead, Bet Elic Ayomanor Over 28.5 Receiving Yards (-110)

Ayomanor has been the Titans' best pass catcher, averaging 35.7 receiving yards per game this year. However, he could have been even better if not for a botched challenge call in Week 1.
The rookie has averaged 5.5 targets and 47 yards per game over the past two weeks, totaling 38 or more yards in both contests.
Houston has struggled to slow down opposing No. 2 wide receivers, giving up 8.7 targets and 38 yards per game this season, surrendering 29 or more yards in every contest.

Avoid Betting Travis Kelce Under 38.5 Receiving Yards (-115)

Unfortunately, Kelce's days as an elite tight end are over. Yet, he has still averaged 5.7 targets and 44.7 receiving yards per game this year, totaling 47 or more yards twice.
The Ravens have surrendered 72.7 yards per game to tight ends this season, giving up 40 or more to Dalton Kincaid, David Njoku, and Harold Fannin Jr. over the first two weeks.
Last year, Baltimore gave up over 70 yards to Kansas City's tight ends, including 34 or more to both Kelce and Noah Gray.

Instead, Bet Isiah Pacheco Over 34.5 Rushing Yards (-115)

While the Chiefs' run game has struggled to start the season, Pacheco is coming off his best performance, totaling 10 rushing attempts for 45 yards.
Last year, the veteran running back had 45 yards in the Week 1 matchup against Baltimore. More importantly, the Ravens' run defense has been awful to start the 2025 season.
Baltimore has surrendered 128.7 yards per game to running backs, allowing 70 or more in every contest. Last week, they gave up 67 yards to Jahmyr Gibbs and 151 to David Montgomery.

Avoid Betting Jake Ferguson Under 52.5 Receiving Yards (-110)

Unfortunately, Dallas won't have CeeDee Lamb because of a high-ankle sprain, meaning Ferguson should see an uptick in targets on Sunday night.
The veteran tight end has averaged 10.7 targets and 61 receiving yards per game this season, totaling at least 12 and 78 in each of the past two outings.
Green Bay has struggled to stop opposing tight ends, surrendering seven receptions for 71.7 yards per game. They've given up at least six receptions and 65 yards in every contest.

Instead, Bet Matthew Golden Over 42.5 Receiving Yards (-120)

Golden has had a quiet start to his rookie season, averaging eight receiving yards per game, totaling 16 over the first two outings.
However, the former Texas star was Green Bay's best wide receiver last week with Jayden Reed out of the lineup, leading the team in yards (52) against a talented Cleveland Browns defense.
Dallas has surrendered 220.3 yards per game to wide receivers, the most in the NFL. They have allowed 45 or more yards to seven wide receivers this year, including three last week.

Mike Fanelli is a featured writer at BettingPros. For more from Mike, check out his archive and follow him @Mike_NFL2.