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Week 3's Best NFL Bets & Trends Picks
(Odds courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook)
WR/TE Receptions Unders 2.5 to 5.5 (≤40% Over Hit Rate L5)
The “WR/TE Receptions Unders 2.5 to 5.5” system has earned a 7.53% return on investment (ROI) over its last 429 bets. That’s a profit of 32.29 units and a win rate of over 59% at an average odds price of -125.
To qualify for the system, the player must have a line between 2.5 and 5.5 receptions, with odds ranging from -249 to +1100. Additionally, the player has to have hit the over in no more than two of the last five games.
Xavier Hutchinson has been a bit of a disappointment this season. With so many injuries, the expectation was that Hutchinson would break out. He’s caught just three passes in each of the first two games and hasn’t surpassed 37 yards in either game.
His under for receptions is currently at 3.5, and it looks really good in a divisional matchup against the Colts.
Pick: Xavier Hutchinson Under 3.5 Receptions (-143)
Low Vig Favorites Rushing Yards Overs in Windy Weather
A lot of people are writing off the New York Giants after losing Jaxson Dart for the season. But not Cam Skattebo. He’s already rallying the troops and showing confidence about the season.
The “Low Vig Favorites Rushing Yards Overs in Windy Weather” system has one play: Cam Skattebo. This system has earned a 62.86% win rate over its last 35 bets and has added a 17% ROI (+5.95 units).
The weather has to be windy, and the player has to have hit the over for rushing yards in at least three of his last five and six of his last 10 games, with a cost of -130 to -101 as the favorite. Skattebo fits the script with his over for rushing yards line set at 57.5. He’ll likely get more action against the Titans this week after an odd Week 2 matchup where he missed reps in the red zone.
Pick: Cam Skattebo Ovr 57.5 Rushing Yards (-114)
Brock Purdy Passing Yards Overs as a Favorite
Brock Purdy has hit the over for his passing yards in four consecutive games when the 49ers are favorites.
Guess what?
The 49ers are favorites at home against the Arizona Cardinals this week. Purdy added 287 yards against the Dolphins as a favorite last week and has hit the over on this line 63% of the time over his last 30 games.
Back Purdy to pass for at least 237 yards against the Cardinals.
