Here is an early look at NFL Wild Card Weekend odds and trends, along with a best early bet for each game. Below we dive into Browns vs. Texans.
NFL Wild Card Weekend Early Odds & Trends: Browns vs. Texans
Browns @ Texans - Saturday, Jan. 13 - 4:30 p.m. EST
Current Consensus Lines - CLE -3; O/U 44
Browns trends:
- 2-0 ATS; 1-1 to the Over in 2 Playoff games since 2021 (both as road underdogs)
- Previous 5 games with rest disadvantage: 3-2 ATS
- Previous 10 games: 7-3 ATS; 7-3 to the Over
- Previous 10 games as a favorite: 7-3 ATS
- Previous 20 games as a road favorite: 7-12-1 ATS
- Previous 23 games following a loss: 13-10 ATS
- Previous 30 road games: 12-17-1 ATS; 19-11 to the Over
- Previous 36 conference games: 16-20 ATS
- Kevin Stefanski as a favorite (Career): 16-21-1 ATS
Texans trends:
- 5-5 ATS; 5-5 to the Over in Playoff games since 2012
- 4-2 ATS; 4-2 to the Under in home Playoff games since 2012
- Previous 7 games with rest advantage: 3-4 ATS
- Previous 10 home games: 7-3 to the Under
- Previous 10 games as a home underdog: 7-3 to the Under
- Previous 15 games following a win: 6-9 ATS
- Previous 30 games: 19-11 to the Under
- Previous 30 games as an underdog: 17-12-1 ATS; 17-13 to the Under
- Previous 36 conference games: 20-16 ATS
- CJ Stroud as an underdog (Career): 5-3 ATS
- DeMeco Ryans as an underdog (Career): 6-4 ATS
Best bet: Texans +3
This line has taken off a bit since opening but has hit some resistance once it got to 3. I agree with that resistance, as Cleveland's defense has not been nearly as good on the road, and the Browns have struggled as road favorites in recent seasons. Though Houston is disadvantaged in terms of experience, I think three points are too many for Stroud and this offense at home. Give me the points with the Texans while this spread is still at a field goal.
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